TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9022…99eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.4
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.57
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10.56
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.36
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$12.19
Rockies vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.12
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.79
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.68
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$46.87
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$37.62
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$22.04
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+77.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$74.52
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$48.98
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.25
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7.7
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$34.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$4.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.