Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c3d3bb71546585062a028756bbf3dab5f1d4258e0158a2fea8778aaaec3054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,238,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,262,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,238,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked No | 48c | 158,499$76,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,419.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 52c | 103,130$53,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,627.75 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 45c | 98,945$44,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,243.21 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 54c | 97,945$52,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,890.53 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 54c | 50,079$26,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,942.53 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,800 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Yes | 54c | 39,017$20,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,954.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 43c | 38,749$16,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,087.1 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 38,032$20,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,745.8 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 32,913$18,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,013.02 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 29,164$18,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,820.81 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 26,132$14,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,277.46 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 32c | 23,096$7,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,275.68 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 46c | 22,181$10,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,977.9 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 46c | 21,160$9,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,437.21 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 20,555$9,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,006.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 54c | 18,446$9,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,961 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 56c | 15,857$8,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940.92 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,949.98 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 14,155$6,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,711.6 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 48c | 13,596$6,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,069.92 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 33c | 10,654$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.79 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 56c | 9,520$5,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,331.45 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 53c | 9,488$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.81 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 73c | 8,351$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100.55 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 52c | 8,149$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.51 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…4a47backed No | 47c | 7,628$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 46c | 7,361$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.92 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked No | 45c | 6,500$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…616fbacked No | 47c | 5,787$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 44c | 5,628$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.79 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.98 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.83 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.95 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 53c | 4,636$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.58 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 42c | 4,397$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.63 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked No | 47c | 3,872$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.34 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 44c | 3,825$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.23 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 47c | 3,666$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.98 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed No | 37c | 3,652$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.52 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Yes | 46c | 3,163$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 49c | 3,070$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.53 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 48c | 3,058$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.01 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 2,815$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.22 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 44c | 2,693$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.1 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…2fa2backed No | 44c | 2,682$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 26c | 2,634$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.17 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…f8f1backed Yes | 56c | 2,613$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 20c | 2,554$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.17 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed Yes | 28c | 2,545$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 55c | 2,508$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.62 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 53c | 2,483$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.36 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…e281backed No | 44c | 2,475$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 2,290$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.75 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 53c | 2,284$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.25 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 44c | 2,272$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.32 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 46c | 2,257$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.52 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaa…0ce5backed Yes | 56c | 2,150$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 49c | 2,149$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.3 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed No | 19c | 2,062$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.57 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 15c | 2,047$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.09 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 58c | 2,044$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.15 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed No | 47c | 2,002$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…ebc9backed Yes | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb60…7861backed Yes | 56c | 1,916$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…f8c7backed No | 44c | 1,915$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2194…30e3backed No | 44c | 1,906$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,790$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.5 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…97d3backed No | 44c | 1,759$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…422dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,744$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…a75abacked No | 44c | 1,724$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…f9babacked Yes | 56c | 1,710$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…6947backed No | 44c | 1,686$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…5d1abacked No | 44c | 1,685$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…9df8backed No | 44c | 1,672$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…d3c2backed No | 44c | 1,660$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…ad3cbacked No | 44c | 1,656$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…943cbacked No | 44c | 1,599$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…3798backed Yes | 56c | 1,554$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…9b36backed Yes | 56c | 1,542$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73fe…0118backed Yes | 56c | 1,530$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…4277backed No | 44c | 1,529$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…f6f7backed No | 44c | 1,496$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e21…4361backed Yes | 56c | 1,480$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Tottenham end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.