TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle vs. Tottenham end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Yes25c12,150$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,112.58940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No75c10,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50035941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes25c6,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9838649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No77c5,359$4,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,126.257147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes78c5,344$4,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.4456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.994847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes29c4,785$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.471020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed No76c3,666$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.3414544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c2,880$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.496,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No75c2,799$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.571,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No4c2,554$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.441305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No75c2,273$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.5829253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No76c2,242$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.8311945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes46c2,190$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.6712345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked No75c1,901$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.45955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes24c1,500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No13c1,245$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6730739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No39c1,144$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.4342043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No67c1,106$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.081,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d6…9920backed No76c1,001$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c901.99$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.194,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes11c899.92$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.9223325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c9…b445backed Yes64c884$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.242556%14 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c879.44$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.532,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9659…f19abacked Yes26c856.92$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.12837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No13c834.46$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.851,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No53c803.94$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.5636954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked Yes25c782.97$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.578670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No25c733.32$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes40c700$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c33…07fdbacked No75c688$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes23c621.6$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.3237036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No75c538.32$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.744551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x277e…5cfcbacked No75c532$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No11c450$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes34c397.38$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.993727%10 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x379d…2afdbacked Yes30c380.46$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes64c380$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2761441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes19c375.89$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.915238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes27c369.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.515280.8%42 W · 10 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+57%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x868e…f152backed No75c354.67$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No49c336.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5357744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No75c324.16$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.124955.1%27 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.782626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes24c277.12$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6421965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No76c232.89$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17718562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes58c225.4$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.442862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes41c224.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.392755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+39.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed Yes25c223.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.54847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Yes29c205.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4112646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes25c188$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1415637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5344…c194backed Yes17c186.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.852653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7a…6628backed No75c177.33$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fd…8b78backed No75c172$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Yes31c151.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.625959.3%35 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+58.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Yes24c145.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.832240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes35c143$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.952634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes24c138.92$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5815025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c137$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.121,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked No76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed No16c128.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes16c120.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8182763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No18c120$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.683953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c7…e112backed No75c102.67$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x644f…a946backed Yes64c100.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.16053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fca…6129backed No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a10…4253backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+144.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes11c95.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.28030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No75c94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.55151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked Yes23c92.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.124250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Yes24c92.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7313249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No66c90.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.746358.7%37 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.334341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes24c83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0854128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes25c81.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.927141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes24c81.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.631,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes80c78.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes26c77.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.154643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes14c77.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0329735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9242240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.922429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9210940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c74.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2422764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff54…ccf0backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes24c69.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4940150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes77c63.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ede…5c8dbacked Yes26c59.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed No58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes24c43.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4312647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked No76c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.215452.6%81 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No75c39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3835661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3c…e863backed No55c36.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.