TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7e6…696b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+219.7%+$107.02
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$39.51
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$27.07
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
Will Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24.12
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$14.34
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Will Newcastle vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+284.6%+$57.15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27.22
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+225%+$67.3
Will Burnley FC vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.09
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7.77
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24.33
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will West Ham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.03
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$53.2
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+58.5%+$6.2
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+326.7%+$125.82
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$9.27
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$7.99
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.19
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+570.2%+$332.98
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+354.5%+$702
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.08
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.54
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Thank you" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.24
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+235.9%+$58.98
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+66.1%+$44.67
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.08
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.3%+$8.86
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.66
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$45.15
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick35cpaid-56.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.76
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.63
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.18
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.08
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+380.5%+$152.22
Will Real Madrid vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$37.79
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.39
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.27
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.88
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$14.03
All 5 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+135%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+175.7%+$219.56
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+140.4%+$119.33
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$17.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+260.5%+$39.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 180-189 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$42.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Huskies vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.5%+$24.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA vs. USCbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.