Movies · resolved market
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbce0ff6f8ee396ec39e76c8b60d747272e8bf4bd65f31d0e131b64aceb0be3b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,771,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,052,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,771,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 1,655,534$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.82 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 0c | 415,274$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 328,687$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.33 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…b3eabacked Yes | 0c | 248,170$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…910bbacked Yes | 0c | 174,960$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…4264backed Yes | 0c | 164,494$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…a61dbacked Yes | 0c | 129,828$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 126,033$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.05 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…67e6backed Yes | 0c | 92,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…e242backed Yes | 2c | 83,670$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes | 5c | 75,391$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 61,929$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.84 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…f89dbacked Yes | 0c | 61,272$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 6c | 55,110$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.67 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…c61dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,499$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…9a1fbacked Yes | 0c | 40,142$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb522…531abacked Yes | 0c | 35,669$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…31febacked Yes | 0c | 35,160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…c5f7backed Yes | 0c | 33,500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…284fbacked Yes | 0c | 33,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4d…bf81backed Yes | 0c | 30,162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…6c30backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8732…a5c1backed Yes | 3c | 29,076$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked Yes | 2c | 28,470$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7480…0ddebacked Yes | 0c | 27,140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…4e67backed Yes | 0c | 26,276$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…fee6backed Yes | 0c | 24,990$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…42c5backed Yes | 0c | 23,651$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…7cccbacked Yes | 0c | 22,822$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…82b7backed Yes | 0c | 22,327$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…fed1backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…805cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,943$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…375dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,744$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…262fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,144$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…7c5cbacked Yes | 5c | 20,101$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.37 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…3fa5backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…94acbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b4a3backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…0adcbacked Yes | 0c | 19,392$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a8…9bdbbacked Yes | 0c | 18,990$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…535ebacked Yes | 5c | 18,023$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa832…179bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,527$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 15c | 16,740$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Yes | 11c | 16,550$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…eb9cbacked Yes | 10c | 16,510$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…32b8backed Yes | 8c | 16,419$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6b…0731backed Yes | 0c | 16,265$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…93a8backed Yes | 0c | 15,990$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da0…5cc5backed Yes | 0c | 15,713$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…2309backed Yes | 0c | 15,592$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…1a18backed Yes | 0c | 15,516$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af1…ec07backed Yes | 4c | 14,991$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…068cbacked Yes | 6c | 14,700$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…cdd9backed Yes | 13c | 14,553$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…a3b6backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 7c | 13,992$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.87 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…8833backed Yes | 0c | 13,750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27e…bab2backed Yes | 0c | 13,596$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…e32abacked Yes | 0c | 13,325$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2680…2537backed Yes | 0c | 13,190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…45f2backed Yes | 2c | 12,585$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 12,430$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.22 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…4826backed Yes | 0c | 12,210$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…0db1backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9f34backed Yes | 9c | 11,774$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…585fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,290$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cd…4e7fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,233$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf9…17efbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…adc8backed Yes | 0c | 10,782$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…80b7backed Yes | 5c | 10,668$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 6c | 10,553$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.32 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…b45bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,500$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 13c | 10,219$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.57 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,215$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 11c | 10,084$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.31 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c27…9f49backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1de…18f2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472f…b673backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…2bf1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…f83bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…4687backed Yes | 0c | 9,667$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 6c | 9,312$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…f1a7backed Yes | 2c | 8,580$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 15c | 8,094$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…934ebacked Yes | 7c | 8,010$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e3…4485backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…7d9abacked Yes | 0c | 6,935$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8dd9backed Yes | 2c | 6,810$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Yes | 7c | 6,663$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…d31dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,563$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…f058backed Yes | 18c | 6,470$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…0fb7backed Yes | 0c | 6,413$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 11c | 6,303$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.23 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 1c | 5,965$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…7e87backed Yes | 11c | 5,943$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 0c | 5,766$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?this page
- Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes won
- Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will another movie gross most in 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.