Movies · resolved market
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ebcc9f6660a5b9613650c3d91bae01f4503b11eb61a782b993bbc3a5d41b04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,351,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,421,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,351,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 4,544,796$5,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,312.18 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,453,405$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.3 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 1,999,994$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8d…c9f2backed Yes | 0c | 496,921$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 449,999$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9697…8fd9backed Yes | 0c | 186,545$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 180,414$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…41f3backed Yes | 0c | 126,000$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…c15cbacked Yes | 0c | 122,642$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…0df8backed Yes | 0c | 118,687$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…f91ebacked Yes | 0c | 109,473$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…a51ebacked Yes | 0c | 70,403$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…8bf8backed Yes | 0c | 70,314$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…6711backed Yes | 0c | 70,268$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…468fbacked Yes | 0c | 64,520$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…bfc3backed Yes | 0c | 54,830$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 53,962$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 4c | 53,696$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6a…10afbacked Yes | 0c | 49,100$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e23…aba5backed Yes | 0c | 42,514$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…a220backed Yes | 0c | 41,710$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…ec47backed Yes | 0c | 40,123$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…8045backed Yes | 0c | 40,008$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…fac6backed Yes | 0c | 39,294$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…e805backed Yes | 0c | 37,263$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…270abacked Yes | 0c | 36,722$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…373ebacked Yes | 0c | 36,232$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…99b6backed Yes | 0c | 34,926$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…cd36backed Yes | 0c | 33,055$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2e…0538backed Yes | 0c | 32,645$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…e982backed Yes | 0c | 32,545$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…42a6backed Yes | 0c | 32,445$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…d690backed Yes | 0c | 32,445$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1b…9671backed Yes | 0c | 32,339$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…7e9ebacked Yes | 0c | 32,120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3460…27e9backed Yes | 0c | 31,595$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…5951backed Yes | 0c | 31,445$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…428ebacked Yes | 0c | 31,430$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…297abacked Yes | 0c | 30,945$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…8073backed Yes | 0c | 30,945$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe1…989cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,933$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85be…aef6backed Yes | 0c | 30,725$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…bb9bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,439$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…463cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,045$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c4…ac0dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…af7fbacked Yes | 0c | 29,445$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da7…294abacked Yes | 0c | 29,345$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…c53ebacked Yes | 0c | 28,945$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…46febacked Yes | 0c | 28,445$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…cf71backed Yes | 1c | 28,348$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…e838backed Yes | 0c | 28,223$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4d…2111backed Yes | 0c | 27,945$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 2c | 27,816$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…dedfbacked Yes | 1c | 27,556$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd791…419fbacked Yes | 0c | 27,446$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe871…6cb3backed Yes | 0c | 27,385$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…258fbacked Yes | 0c | 26,946$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed Yes | 3c | 26,935$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1202…e024backed Yes | 0c | 26,500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba47…32a8backed Yes | 0c | 26,446$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…90a4backed Yes | 0c | 25,946$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aee…77ecbacked Yes | 0c | 25,600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2222…df72backed Yes | 0c | 25,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…a320backed Yes | 0c | 25,446$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…9426backed Yes | 0c | 25,346$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 25,004$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.62 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106a…f01bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb94…0560backed Yes | 0c | 24,984$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…5723backed Yes | 0c | 24,477$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…6ab0backed Yes | 0c | 24,100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7449…1159backed Yes | 0c | 23,990$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7036…3142backed Yes | 0c | 23,850$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…1352backed Yes | 0c | 23,700$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…eb6dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…e721backed Yes | 0c | 23,246$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…4bb8backed Yes | 0c | 23,200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…ffd0backed Yes | 0c | 23,150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f01…eb2abacked Yes | 0c | 23,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…ae68backed Yes | 0c | 22,800$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…c3a6backed Yes | 0c | 22,133$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…c996backed Yes | 1c | 21,615$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…1ffabacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…556ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,800$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe58…f4d4backed Yes | 0c | 20,750$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76c…1d32backed Yes | 0c | 20,560$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x247c…b405backed Yes | 0c | 20,360$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…66f6backed Yes | 0c | 20,350$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…b637backed Yes | 0c | 20,326$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…eef1backed Yes | 0c | 20,120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…4c58backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1cd8backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…ba78backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…9aa6backed Yes | 0c | 19,700$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa833…e421backed Yes | 0c | 19,675$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddb…75debacked Yes | 0c | 19,650$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…ba87backed Yes | 0c | 19,650$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…e27dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,650$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…9cbdbacked Yes | 0c | 19,550$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?this page
- Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes won
- Will another movie gross most in 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.