Movies · resolved market
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab07117f9f698f28490f57754d6fe5309374230c95867a7eba572892a11d710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,909,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,891,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,909,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked No | 1c | 139,458$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 0c | 132,901$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.57 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…f78ebacked No | 1c | 41,117$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 0c | 25,065$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 2c | 24,204$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.71 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5186…51d0backed No | 9c | 23,566$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 2c | 21,862$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.02 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 0c | 21,039$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…80b7backed No | 12c | 16,260$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 9c | 16,244$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.94 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…32b8backed No | 20c | 16,114$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…0eddbacked No | 7c | 15,504$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…7805backed No | 6c | 14,579$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3f…789ebacked No | 0c | 13,082$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebd…8e25backed No | 0c | 13,082$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 6c | 10,251$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.04 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…2a80backed No | 1c | 10,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…66edbacked Yes | 75c | 8,576$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…3549backed No | 25c | 8,576$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed No | 1c | 8,227$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…85fabacked No | 4c | 8,023$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 6c | 8,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb4…9e30backed Yes | 76c | 7,614$5,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9834…c4bdbacked No | 24c | 7,614$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4335backed No | 0c | 7,370$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…b140backed Yes | 79c | 7,248$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c9…ed89backed No | 21c | 7,248$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…a693backed No | 24c | 6,433$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…2e7abacked Yes | 76c | 6,433$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 6c | 5,984$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…ea5cbacked Yes | 75c | 5,331$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3e75backed No | 25c | 5,331$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2e97backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…a628backed No | 1c | 4,429$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7644…d10cbacked No | 20c | 4,109$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…bf77backed Yes | 80c | 4,109$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fb…3a92backed No | 0c | 3,916$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…3336backed No | 1c | 3,576$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…8d28backed No | 1c | 3,258$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…4a81backed Yes | 80c | 3,225$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 33c | 3,183$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.41 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…3ee7backed No | 1c | 3,147$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9eb7backed Yes | 28c | 3,125$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…a48fbacked No | 0c | 3,091$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…8322backed No | 7c | 3,033$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.1 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…7ba8backed No | 0c | 2,983$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…0845backed No | 2c | 2,874$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8897…dab3backed No | 2c | 2,850$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…04a1backed Yes | 78c | 2,763$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…6fe5backed No | 2c | 2,730$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 9c | 2,725$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 509 | 33.2%169 W · 340 L | -31.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…7daebacked No | 0c | 2,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4db…cb83backed No | 1c | 2,693$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…7715backed No | 1c | 2,587$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…a506backed No | 2c | 2,536$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 18c | 2,485$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abf…b18abacked No | 1c | 2,462$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…3796backed No | 1c | 2,412$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7fa0backed No | 1c | 2,406$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…a3aabacked Yes | 77c | 2,312$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d6…d85cbacked No | 2c | 2,278$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 10c | 2,232$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 10c | 2,218$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…922cbacked No | 1c | 2,035$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce6…e654backed No | 2c | 2,020$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…107cbacked No | 2c | 2,003$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcf…8459backed No | 2c | 2,003$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f1…c6c0backed No | 2c | 2,003$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…c494backed No | 2c | 2,003$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…00cdbacked No | 2c | 2,003$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039f…872cbacked No | 1c | 2,003$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…54f2backed No | 2c | 2,003$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…4661backed No | 1c | 2,003$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…cac2backed No | 2c | 2,003$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e0…6c4ebacked No | 2c | 2,003$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x957d…d010backed No | 2c | 2,003$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…9d83backed No | 2c | 2,002$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f0…7460backed No | 2c | 2,001$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…02d5backed No | 1c | 2,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…7d2ebacked No | 2c | 2,001$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa101…303cbacked No | 2c | 2,001$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9232…2363backed No | 2c | 2,001$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…7005backed No | 2c | 2,001$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…68f8backed No | 2c | 2,001$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…e1f1backed No | 2c | 2,001$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…c0cabacked No | 2c | 2,001$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…c944backed No | 2c | 1,920$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…9e32backed No | 1c | 1,880$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde7…c57abacked No | 12c | 1,855$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3d…7261backed No | 16c | 1,853$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 73c | 1,850$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…b44abacked No | 1c | 1,810$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…33f7backed No | 1c | 1,801$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…d1f5backed No | 1c | 1,704$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…c2f2backed No | 19c | 1,591$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?this page
- Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will another movie gross most in 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.