Movies · resolved market
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62c1c246437874dc270d9d9019b6228532a394ea2a6ffa36190c7075a2732ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,691,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,952,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,691,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 4,085,205$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.12 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,161,793$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.79 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 1,999,811$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.81 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 199,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aab…741bbacked Yes | 0c | 180,495$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 129,999$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…c4cabacked Yes | 0c | 128,444$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4335backed Yes | 0c | 59,219$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 55,969$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…d41fbacked Yes | 0c | 55,965$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa688…4793backed Yes | 0c | 51,148$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…9a12backed Yes | 0c | 50,965$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Yes | 0c | 49,900$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…c00bbacked Yes | 0c | 48,820$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…01babacked Yes | 0c | 44,769$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802a…6155backed Yes | 0c | 44,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…b81bbacked Yes | 0c | 41,429$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…c19ebacked Yes | 0c | 41,400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…8dc0backed Yes | 0c | 39,851$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1922…63d8backed Yes | 0c | 39,694$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…e482backed Yes | 0c | 39,690$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabec…bc82backed Yes | 0c | 38,825$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63b…0982backed Yes | 0c | 38,779$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ce…d29cbacked Yes | 0c | 37,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…4483backed Yes | 0c | 37,440$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…461cbacked Yes | 0c | 37,140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa669…61d7backed Yes | 0c | 37,004$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d5…cf2ebacked Yes | 0c | 36,624$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…8b42backed Yes | 0c | 35,065$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…d212backed Yes | 0c | 34,984$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…d98cbacked Yes | 0c | 33,933$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…6178backed Yes | 0c | 32,840$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837f…0041backed Yes | 0c | 32,531$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…72d0backed Yes | 0c | 32,252$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc83b…8480backed Yes | 0c | 30,494$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…9806backed Yes | 0c | 30,439$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…0a68backed Yes | 0c | 29,771$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…c96ebacked Yes | 0c | 28,334$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…b439backed Yes | 0c | 27,042$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…a758backed Yes | 0c | 26,937$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…668fbacked Yes | 0c | 24,617$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e3…1ac1backed Yes | 0c | 24,081$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…3c73backed Yes | 0c | 23,671$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…5650backed Yes | 0c | 23,443$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6612…2a23backed Yes | 0c | 23,133$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…9e14backed Yes | 0c | 22,686$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…a29fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,639$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…c1babacked Yes | 0c | 22,335$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…55cebacked Yes | 0c | 22,329$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…383ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,269$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb930…de69backed Yes | 0c | 22,232$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…b648backed Yes | 0c | 21,990$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…7c40backed Yes | 0c | 21,964$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x280c…cb0abacked Yes | 0c | 21,815$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…e537backed Yes | 0c | 21,727$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…095fbacked Yes | 5c | 21,542$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…6cb4backed Yes | 0c | 21,226$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…7b2abacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…3fa5backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…16bfbacked Yes | 0c | 19,239$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…e1d1backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…f2dcbacked Yes | 0c | 18,190$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a1…7ca0backed Yes | 0c | 17,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…7e48backed Yes | 0c | 16,990$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…985bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,979$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa30…a4b1backed Yes | 0c | 15,697$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…b6a0backed Yes | 0c | 15,690$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…68e5backed Yes | 0c | 15,190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…baa0backed Yes | 0c | 15,150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…9ac6backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…dedfbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…284fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,866$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…ee54backed Yes | 0c | 14,590$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb742…0648backed Yes | 0c | 14,327$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a0…f59abacked Yes | 0c | 14,103$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0832backed Yes | 0c | 13,944$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…748ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,790$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19b…ce73backed Yes | 0c | 13,425$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…819ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,283$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…0a9ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,056$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…8458backed Yes | 0c | 13,012$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…e6cdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,531$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…8cd1backed Yes | 0c | 12,240$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…35f9backed Yes | 0c | 11,940$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…37adbacked Yes | 0c | 11,507$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…96debacked Yes | 0c | 11,190$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…0354backed Yes | 0c | 10,220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e04…d5acbacked Yes | 0c | 10,101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…37babacked Yes | 0c | 10,101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab5…f2b2backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973c…6ce4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc3…c4a2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…dc47backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…602cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…e2afbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9847…0fd1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…67c9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…0db1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…a8d3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?this page
- Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes won
- Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will another movie gross most in 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.