Movies · resolved market
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1742f180a7ff24c2a89f3775e8f4243169085b7a25a50f15c76090b816e4c994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,803,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,764,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,803,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 4,381,407$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 1,999,900$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.9 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 1,985,382$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.38 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 349,999$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 223,077$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…90aabacked Yes | 0c | 187,262$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ee…4660backed Yes | 0c | 180,987$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…2360backed Yes | 0c | 172,433$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…3365backed Yes | 0c | 172,229$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…5080backed Yes | 0c | 165,603$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…e0f7backed Yes | 0c | 165,108$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…fdedbacked Yes | 0c | 156,580$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…74e6backed Yes | 0c | 156,531$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…e2d5backed Yes | 0c | 145,744$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…e733backed Yes | 0c | 145,521$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…1ce5backed Yes | 0c | 142,591$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…917bbacked Yes | 0c | 142,461$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ee…f581backed Yes | 0c | 141,594$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…23d7backed Yes | 0c | 141,052$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…042fbacked Yes | 0c | 139,583$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…31b0backed Yes | 0c | 137,931$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…2eb5backed Yes | 0c | 135,848$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…f1cfbacked Yes | 0c | 135,617$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…21b1backed Yes | 0c | 132,041$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1f…087bbacked Yes | 0c | 131,849$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…778abacked Yes | 0c | 131,492$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…9c62backed Yes | 0c | 128,601$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090b…1b8fbacked Yes | 0c | 128,385$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ef3cbacked Yes | 0c | 126,038$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf803…649ebacked Yes | 0c | 120,549$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…48adbacked Yes | 0c | 119,404$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…f636backed Yes | 0c | 115,450$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…ac08backed Yes | 0c | 115,132$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…24cabacked Yes | 0c | 114,543$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3a…7730backed Yes | 0c | 112,617$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 82,296$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…77a4backed Yes | 0c | 72,453$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…2364backed Yes | 0c | 54,677$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…847ebacked Yes | 0c | 53,880$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…3b0ebacked Yes | 0c | 47,845$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd140…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 45,533$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…5b06backed Yes | 0c | 45,309$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…9a7bbacked Yes | 0c | 43,096$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7246…3053backed Yes | 0c | 42,878$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…839abacked Yes | 0c | 39,741$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…3ad1backed Yes | 0c | 39,136$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…2d47backed Yes | 0c | 38,989$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…1495backed Yes | 0c | 38,157$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8838…c529backed Yes | 0c | 37,293$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…d274backed Yes | 0c | 36,785$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…5dd6backed Yes | 0c | 36,420$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes | 0c | 35,310$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…d54bbacked Yes | 0c | 34,125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17fb…3a92backed Yes | 0c | 29,385$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3566…dfaebacked Yes | 0c | 28,786$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…f469backed Yes | 0c | 27,373$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…0a9ebacked Yes | 0c | 26,667$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…11f6backed Yes | 0c | 26,500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…e7e3backed Yes | 0c | 26,360$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…cf9fbacked Yes | 0c | 26,071$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…712dbacked Yes | 0c | 24,221$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…55eabacked Yes | 0c | 23,695$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…6677backed Yes | 0c | 23,638$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…67fabacked Yes | 0c | 23,190$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684a…3e58backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…cb83backed Yes | 0c | 22,867$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…a284backed Yes | 0c | 22,770$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…4bfcbacked Yes | 0c | 22,307$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…6f0cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,397$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1df…c7d3backed Yes | 0c | 19,990$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…75a2backed Yes | 0c | 19,821$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced5…4962backed Yes | 0c | 19,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…a510backed Yes | 0c | 19,002$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…377cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7006…76a2backed Yes | 0c | 17,890$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…db62backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…ef3dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,608$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…12b7backed Yes | 0c | 16,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x028c…bed1backed Yes | 0c | 16,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…0f36backed Yes | 0c | 16,443$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faa…cf2dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,442$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…e65cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,075$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…10c7backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…00b7backed Yes | 0c | 15,990$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d83…19b0backed Yes | 0c | 15,990$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…f175backed Yes | 0c | 15,933$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…0354backed Yes | 0c | 15,337$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…8a71backed Yes | 0c | 15,156$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…3700backed Yes | 0c | 15,117$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3809…9f2cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…5df7backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…e622backed Yes | 0c | 14,990$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…00b9backed Yes | 0c | 14,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059b…7b2abacked Yes | 0c | 14,290$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49b…1bdbbacked Yes | 0c | 14,200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aee…e484backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0586…30cdbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…875bbacked Yes | 0c | 13,990$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?this page
- Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes won
- Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?No won
- Will another movie gross most in 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.