MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x269c9231b26b3f796e651365ba4cd149112000c06949222bfe3aa95c173432cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Blue Jays, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 634 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 44c | 33,042$14,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,613.46 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 46c | 22,771$10,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,183.6 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Orioles | 49c | 17,925$8,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,144.98 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…ee64backed Blue Jays | 63c | 16,505$10,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,403.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Blue Jays | 62c | 13,331$8,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,268.54 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 48c | 12,730$6,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,621.9 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays | 53c | 11,520$6,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,062.94 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 52c | 10,371$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.8 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 46c | 9,893$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,350.24 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Orioles | 47c | 9,716$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120.11 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Blue Jays | 41c | 9,665$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 53c | 9,565$5,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.35 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 51c | 8,602$4,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.37 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 8,021$4,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,331.45 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 7,665$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.43 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 51c | 7,425$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Orioles | 50c | 7,059$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.63 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Orioles | 74c | 5,699$4,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…6141backed Blue Jays | 66c | 5,097$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Orioles | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Blue Jays | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Blue Jays | 58c | 5,000$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 4,980$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.22 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 43c | 4,626$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.73 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Blue Jays | 53c | 4,487$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.28 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 48c | 4,291$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.69 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 48c | 4,090$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.56 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 3,084$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.7 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Blue Jays | 18c | 2,850$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.94 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Orioles | 50c | 2,597$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.58 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 38c | 2,423$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.28 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…fe42backed Blue Jays | 55c | 2,377$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Blue Jays | 54c | 2,343$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.33 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,282$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.75 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Blue Jays | 65c | 2,248$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.72 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jays | 11c | 2,111$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.21 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 48c | 1,922$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.37 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,893$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.91 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Orioles | 48c | 1,815$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.78 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Orioles | 70c | 1,629$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.79 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…3ea3backed Orioles | 47c | 1,507$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…fe47backed Orioles | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…e6c2backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8150backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Orioles | 48c | 1,213$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…2f29backed Orioles | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…4566backed Orioles | 47c | 1,146$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…541bbacked Orioles | 47c | 1,146$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Orioles | 50c | 1,119$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.67 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Orioles | 51c | 1,114$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.69 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 51c | 1,100$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.97 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…9a7dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,084$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…aa71backed Orioles | 50c | 1,066$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd4…05febacked Orioles | 50c | 1,034$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3b…d4c6backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,019$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7920…74bdbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…84bcbacked Orioles | 50c | 1,014$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1295…640dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Orioles | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 990.74$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…dc7abacked Orioles | 50c | 986$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…40d9backed Blue Jays | 51c | 984$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…a23dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 978$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…1a4cbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 971$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…58b6backed Orioles | 49c | 959$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…0704backed Orioles | 49c | 955$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…a661backed Orioles | 49c | 945$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 54c | 942.04$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.7 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…4c6bbacked Orioles | 49c | 941$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6b…b9febacked Blue Jays | 51c | 929$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…96ecbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 916$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.9 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…8d3cbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 899.96$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Orioles | 63c | 899.03$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.21 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Orioles | 49c | 819.08$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.31 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 48c | 803.04$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ed…c62dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 760$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.8 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 48c | 759.89$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 725$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.25 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Blue Jays | 57c | 703.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.39 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…9517backed Blue Jays | 53c | 679.39$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Orioles | 46c | 670$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Blue Jays | 56c | 651.63$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.45 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…041bbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 632.63$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…fc86backed Orioles | 47c | 623.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…b45bbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 607.21$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Orioles | 49c | 600$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Orioles | 48c | 597.34$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Orioles | 44c | 574$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.08 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 51c | 569.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.