Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,254,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,353,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,254,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 8,193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00ec…8240backed No | 32c | 2,996,139$953,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953,952.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed No | 5c | 2,975,845$147,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,434.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…ac52backed No | 5c | 1,094,536$50,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,062.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…38e2backed No | 8c | 876,599$74,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,159.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 80c | 783,079$626,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,066.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed No | 2c | 637,979$15,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,334.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 77c | 560,990$433,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,484.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed No | 10c | 545,830$56,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,962.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 4c | 500,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed No | 26c | 475,308$121,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,595.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed No | 9c | 452,514$41,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,645.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 77c | 435,294$334,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,171.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…2c1fbacked No | 7c | 422,509$30,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,003.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ef…4ff8backed No | 7c | 402,736$28,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,700.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 0c | 394,565$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked No | 6c | 384,201$23,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,097.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 8c | 367,374$29,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,981.02 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…26c9backed No | 13c | 333,777$41,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,901.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 3c | 316,105$10,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,029.62 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 9c | 306,566$26,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,951.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb506…8f79backed Yes | 74c | 300,010$221,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,020.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 79c | 297,674$236,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,339.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 14c | 279,610$39,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,270.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…0711backed Yes | 67c | 261,000$175,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,165.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed No | 8c | 253,491$21,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,075.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3061backed No | 6c | 251,835$14,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,046 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 68c | 230,909$155,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,045.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…cf1dbacked No | 9c | 197,950$17,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,703.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 70c | 186,896$131,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,377.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a558backed No | 6c | 168,412$9,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed No | 14c | 159,975$22,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,159.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 6c | 158,453$9,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,950.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed No | 2c | 153,499$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed No | 6c | 150,726$8,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,341.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fe…e618backed No | 8c | 150,033$12,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,359.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…12febacked No | 8c | 148,877$11,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,458.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…ac84backed Yes | 71c | 148,574$105,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,649.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…e7bebacked No | 12c | 148,036$17,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,581.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91da…5a91backed No | 0c | 145,340$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 80c | 144,399$115,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,156.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…909abacked No | 3c | 143,154$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed Yes | 79c | 140,279$110,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,297.31 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 39cpaid | +227.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…1297backed No | 0c | 139,086$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked Yes | 70c | 137,535$96,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,021.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 78c | 135,461$105,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,570.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…4efdbacked No | 8c | 134,974$10,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,204.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 12c | 134,824$15,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,764.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…c36cbacked No | 8c | 134,462$10,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,404.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…0941backed No | 1c | 133,663$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 13c | 131,990$16,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,874.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…77d5backed No | 7c | 131,700$9,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,245.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7396…d207backed No | 10c | 130,881$13,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,394.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…f717backed No | 3c | 130,452$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…bc5dbacked No | 12c | 125,503$14,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,838.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…9b0fbacked No | 10c | 124,232$12,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,758.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…cd99backed No | 12c | 122,329$14,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,620.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef52…cd4bbacked No | 11c | 121,977$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…e9c1backed No | 0c | 120,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…8f32backed No | 13c | 119,185$15,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,047.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 72c | 115,140$82,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,566.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 7c | 114,546$8,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,217.93 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 9c | 112,276$10,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,160.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed No | 6c | 112,216$6,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,732.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 7c | 110,219$7,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…f9f8backed No | 8c | 106,514$8,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,903.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…adcebacked No | 8c | 105,792$8,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,773.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 74c | 105,126$78,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,071.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed No | 6c | 104,623$5,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,952.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…2bd3backed No | 6c | 103,209$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,890 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa219…c162backed No | 9c | 102,926$9,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,033.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 67c | 100,376$67,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,052.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 0c | 99,900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf578…4adbbacked No | 13c | 99,767$13,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,062.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…c1bebacked No | 10c | 96,467$10,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,032.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4ac9backed No | 10c | 96,195$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…6e4abacked No | 7c | 95,776$7,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,089.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523f…5864backed No | 9c | 94,624$8,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,744.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 2c | 91,822$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…8c44backed No | 11c | 91,129$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 74c | 90,606$66,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,836.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…76aebacked No | 12c | 90,304$10,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,661.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…b476backed No | 7c | 88,964$6,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,182.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 8c | 88,008$7,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,367.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…f175backed No | 17c | 85,521$14,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,713 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…7ad5backed No | 6c | 85,160$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 67c | 84,721$57,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,617.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…865fbacked No | 12c | 82,087$9,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,636.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…48eebacked Yes | 68c | 81,738$55,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,203.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 7c | 81,117$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631b…62e1backed No | 8c | 81,112$6,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 28c | 80,336$22,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,298.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked No | 0c | 80,000$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 79c | 78,812$62,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,741.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8096…762cbacked No | 7c | 77,970$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…6731backed No | 29c | 76,328$22,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261d…937dbacked No | 27c | 73,908$20,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,323.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…bed9backed No | 9c | 71,400$6,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,321.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644a…efcebacked No | 8c | 71,010$5,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,974.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 12c | 70,813$8,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,789.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 67c | 70,000$46,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,123.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.