TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,383,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,500,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,383,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x921d…efb8backed Yes0c5,032,234$5,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,032.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c1,018,417$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.4290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c20…548abacked Yes0c883,461$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.4630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f2…1240backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes0c443,934$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.1670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes0c420,539$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.1240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2336…9e65backed Yes0c300,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c248,078$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Yes0c199,999$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe435…4fe6backed Yes0c184,131$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd031…6f38backed Yes0c184,131$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8688…0d14backed Yes0c184,131$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa68…b388backed Yes0c184,100$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e9…3077backed Yes0c154,300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb75…39dbbacked Yes0c154,250$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65a…f8f3backed Yes0c154,230$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c4…972bbacked Yes0c154,210$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c95…b5debacked Yes0c153,195$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec00…4eccbacked Yes0c153,100$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc767…7e5ebacked Yes0c153,000$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c152,000$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152551.8%1 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-85.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…74f6backed Yes0c151,960$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…8559backed Yes0c151,840$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…5b18backed Yes0c143,800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe762…dcfbbacked Yes0c143,700$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a30…4739backed Yes0c141,600$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d5…3b22backed Yes0c141,600$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30eb…1bcebacked Yes0c141,500$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd94…8b51backed Yes0c141,400$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b35…ad65backed Yes0c141,300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d45…92febacked Yes0c140,200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb237…b6febacked Yes0c140,100$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf503…0aa5backed Yes0c140,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd590…bdb0backed Yes0c138,770$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa5…4726backed Yes0c116,833$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732b…61b4backed Yes0c116,813$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…db7dbacked Yes0c116,736$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes0c102,167$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.17812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-84.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38b…86f3backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f94…c122backed Yes0c83,348$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfca0…2616backed Yes0c83,207$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac6…04f7backed Yes0c70,435$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b0…c11abacked Yes0c51,855$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b1…9fe0backed Yes0c50,705$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9939…79d6backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548a…69c9backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cf…6996backed Yes0c49,095$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c46,999$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c46,407$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b2…e801backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd46…e7d3backed Yes0c37,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6189backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+96.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0f…0a8abacked Yes0c26,425$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c24,858$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.04260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6183…9f60backed Yes0c24,760$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a9…7b8cbacked Yes0c23,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddc…1976backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49a8…7153backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe950…e3b8backed Yes0c19,956$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ef…0740backed Yes0c19,650$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e6…7f1fbacked Yes0c19,580$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422b…7f3abacked Yes0c19,367$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260a…dbf6backed Yes0c19,005$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0170%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c18,637$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.861320.8%1 W · 131 L+0.5wins0.00per pick0cpaid+60.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d0…7c3cbacked Yes0c18,607$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0b…b2e8backed Yes0c18,580$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6fd…cda3backed Yes0c18,129$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf473…e1debacked Yes0c17,955$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30cc…e8dbbacked Yes0c17,320$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4159…e4c9backed Yes0c16,820$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabed…346cbacked Yes0c16,260$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bd…fb66backed Yes0c15,787$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d74…1d87backed Yes0c15,356$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a37…19b2backed Yes0c15,330$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d06…02e2backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5025…dd30backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a3…dfcabacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3742…fa90backed Yes0c14,970$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742e…91b6backed Yes0c14,598$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4fe…ef67backed Yes0c14,430$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b1f…ab49backed Yes0c14,429$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d1…b602backed Yes0c14,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa12…080cbacked Yes0c14,395$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa011…cd58backed Yes0c14,380$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc3…167ebacked Yes0c14,380$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b1…bbc2backed Yes0c14,380$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33cc…9ce4backed Yes0c14,359$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b36…bedcbacked Yes0c14,350$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232d…1c9abacked Yes0c14,330$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0fa…087abacked Yes0c14,320$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d48…cfb6backed Yes0c14,310$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b5…099ebacked Yes0c14,310$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a61…b478backed Yes0c14,307$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a5…0970backed Yes0c14,300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c9…3c34backed Yes0c14,266$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e13…0145backed Yes0c14,250$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa5…7d47backed Yes0c14,245$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca2…97d0backed Yes0c14,230$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.