Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e56a92abcf4996105ab15ce5612742bc33f4b9097bb6a4ec5f1468e6f2580c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,207,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,436,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,207,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1858…87c1backed Yes | 0c | 8,921,694$8,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,921.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…0ae5backed Yes | 0c | 7,137,023$7,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,137.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…7bd1backed Yes | 0c | 2,224,317$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b11…1d27backed Yes | 0c | 1,280,257$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…4021backed Yes | 0c | 1,195,095$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…41adbacked Yes | 0c | 1,115,771$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05a…794dbacked Yes | 0c | 1,108,407$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 1,097,872$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.87 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 0c | 900,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…65f2backed Yes | 0c | 895,538$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…53b1backed Yes | 0c | 894,526$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…47e6backed Yes | 1c | 851,606$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,780.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad91…3703backed Yes | 0c | 835,028$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…f576backed Yes | 0c | 794,362$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aca…a8c0backed Yes | 0c | 782,097$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a80fbacked Yes | 0c | 740,241$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e7…3d76backed Yes | 0c | 712,980$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae03…a429backed Yes | 0c | 622,013$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 557,576$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e2…b650backed Yes | 0c | 518,840$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…a57bbacked Yes | 0c | 498,349$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…ade4backed Yes | 0c | 497,847$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…7eb8backed Yes | 0c | 497,458$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…b0a3backed Yes | 0c | 497,455$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…b272backed Yes | 0c | 496,587$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…a189backed Yes | 0c | 495,231$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…408dbacked Yes | 0c | 494,576$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed Yes | 0c | 470,129$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…86f3backed Yes | 0c | 428,736$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…bdebbacked Yes | 0c | 398,359$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572d…a6b5backed Yes | 0c | 398,344$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad6…1249backed Yes | 0c | 397,967$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…6587backed Yes | 0c | 397,964$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…2bffbacked Yes | 0c | 376,910$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc04…62f8backed Yes | 0c | 340,775$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd2…b7d7backed Yes | 0c | 293,607$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f3…03d4backed Yes | 0c | 208,743$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…b0c9backed Yes | 0c | 198,942$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…acc9backed Yes | 0c | 198,746$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…c379backed Yes | 0c | 193,929$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…de98backed Yes | 0c | 193,809$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…90e4backed Yes | 0c | 178,878$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 0c | 153,553$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.82 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x728d…2629backed Yes | 0c | 149,009$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…7e78backed Yes | 0c | 125,782$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…64e0backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9260backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…1240backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 0c | 99,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 0c | 97,000$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…608abacked Yes | 0c | 85,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 81,581$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7024backed Yes | 0c | 79,563$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 1c | 76,540$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af4…66c9backed Yes | 0c | 70,720$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 66,666$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 66,355$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 60,689$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…f6d4backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…3ae7backed Yes | 1c | 60,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…3c61backed Yes | 0c | 50,230$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1f…3da3backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…f175backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…c642backed Yes | 0c | 39,597$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…c799backed Yes | 0c | 39,130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…099bbacked Yes | 0c | 39,070$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…d048backed Yes | 0c | 35,558$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 1c | 33,662$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…f702backed Yes | 1c | 31,390$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a37ebacked Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…1cb7backed Yes | 0c | 26,267$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 0c | 26,058$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a8…1860backed Yes | 0c | 25,163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…0359backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…31c2backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1194…fae4backed Yes | 0c | 22,594$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,602$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 1c | 21,092$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…df4cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…7d1dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…e6e6backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…ff19backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…905bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c90…bbd5backed Yes | 0c | 15,490$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6871backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…0aa4backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…b2e8backed Yes | 1c | 12,222$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…f865backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba52…0494backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…5db6backed Yes | 0c | 11,610$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…eb49backed Yes | 0c | 11,440$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…f94cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Yes | 0c | 10,530$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e6…c9a7backed Yes | 0c | 10,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…7a8cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…88bcbacked Yes | 1c | 10,389$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.