TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6565…0359

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-59.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+209.9%+$1,024.99
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25,760.55
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,962Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,541.3
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$198
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.91
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,740.78
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$720
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+194.1%+$198
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+165.9%+$311.95
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+186.2%+$325.29
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+55.5%+$189.9
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
All 5 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+243.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+243.1%+$175.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46%+$5.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.