UFC · resolved market
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6963100c49bdcf119433cb1617abf6683b7256a93c707037e9fbf6271276e846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Josh Hokitof Derrick Lewis, Josh Hokit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,224,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,248,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,224,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 441,568$348,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,314.55 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 315,052$67,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,660.92 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Derrick Lewis | 21c | 307,942$65,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,544.29 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Derrick Lewis | 21c | 285,554$59,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,966.35 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 280,889$57,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,952.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 213,717$168,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,362.84 | 203 | 48.3%98 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Josh Hokit | 79c | 212,775$169,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,682.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Josh Hokit | 80c | 202,414$161,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,812.59 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Josh Hokit | 78c | 158,461$124,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,161.4 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Josh Hokit | 78c | 111,629$87,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,593.29 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…799bbacked Derrick Lewis | 1c | 100,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…59dbbacked Derrick Lewis | 23c | 100,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,999.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Josh Hokit | 77c | 69,999$53,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,099.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Josh Hokit | 78c | 55,257$43,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,156.63 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Josh Hokit | 77c | 47,852$36,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,005.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Derrick Lewis | 20c | 42,468$8,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,493.61 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Derrick Lewis | 21c | 30,952$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 27,478$21,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,770.39 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Derrick Lewis | 22c | 26,520$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,832.74 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Derrick Lewis | 12c | 24,979$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.38 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Josh Hokit | 77c | 23,584$18,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.41 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Derrick Lewis | 14c | 23,435$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.89 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Josh Hokit | 79c | 22,000$17,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Derrick Lewis | 23c | 21,368$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.57 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Josh Hokit | 79c | 20,000$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.98 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 19,048$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Josh Hokit | 80c | 19,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Derrick Lewis | 23c | 15,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Josh Hokit | 78c | 13,029$10,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.77 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Josh Hokit | 77c | 11,837$9,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.49 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Josh Hokit | 77c | 11,812$9,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Derrick Lewis | 23c | 8,822$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked Derrick Lewis | 20c | 8,336$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…9d64backed Derrick Lewis | 23c | 8,061$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Derrick Lewis | 22c | 7,562$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.64 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85dd…62d4backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 7,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Derrick Lewis | 38c | 7,064$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.01 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 7,000$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Derrick Lewis | 28c | 6,804$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 6,577$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…b386backed Derrick Lewis | 22c | 6,212$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 6,022$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.62 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 6,000$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked Josh Hokit | 79c | 5,948$4,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…740abacked Derrick Lewis | 21c | 5,864$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Derrick Lewis | 21c | 5,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 5,181$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.97 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…b7b3backed Derrick Lewis | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Josh Hokit | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…7f92backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Derrick Lewis | 12c | 4,788$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.27 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd105…7b2cbacked Derrick Lewis | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…40b1backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 4,683$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Derrick Lewis | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Josh Hokit | 79c | 4,441$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.58 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Derrick Lewis | 6c | 4,142$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e055backed Josh Hokit | 80c | 4,075$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Josh Hokit | 78c | 3,849$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.78 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…59a3backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 3,577$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…3ababacked Derrick Lewis | 16c | 3,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…5e15backed Josh Hokit | 77c | 3,312$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Derrick Lewis | 23c | 3,150$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Derrick Lewis | 28c | 2,968$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…8a26backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 2,943$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 2,860$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Derrick Lewis | 23c | 2,800$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Derrick Lewis | 21c | 2,781$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Josh Hokit | 65c | 2,719$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.98 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 2,551$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Derrick Lewis | 20c | 2,480$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.96 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Derrick Lewis | 22c | 2,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…8ed4backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…545bbacked Derrick Lewis | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80dd…3c83backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 2,250$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Derrick Lewis | 22c | 2,221$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c6ebbacked Derrick Lewis | 21c | 2,196$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Derrick Lewis | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd422…7e43backed Josh Hokit | 80c | 2,039$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Derrick Lewis | 20c | 2,030$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 2,025$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.32 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Josh Hokit | 76c | 2,003$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.66 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Derrick Lewis | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Josh Hokit | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Derrick Lewis | 23c | 1,957$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed Derrick Lewis | 21c | 1,861$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…98b7backed Derrick Lewis | 22c | 1,822$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Derrick Lewis | 13c | 1,812$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed Josh Hokit | 79c | 1,800$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fb…a324backed Derrick Lewis | 23c | 1,780$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Derrick Lewis win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.