UFC · resolved market
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1b01493eb51ff515ac65207cb7b1aa95888f108d272936e3700636ac5fa621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 40c | 13,131$5,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.25 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 60c | 10,710$6,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.17 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 41c | 7,499$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 40c | 7,000$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.99 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 42c | 5,474$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.61 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 58c | 2,573$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.29 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 59c | 2,533$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 63c | 2,386$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.92 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Yes | 58c | 1,776$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.52 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…5c3dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7294…3b5dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,431$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 44c | 1,120$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.68 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…bed5backed Yes | 59c | 1,071$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 42c | 1,001$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 41c | 777$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 40c | 693.5$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5414…a31abacked Yes | 58c | 664.77$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 60c | 643.72$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.49 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 60c | 612.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…f27bbacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…e3c2backed Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Yes | 59c | 414.27$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Yes | 60c | 409.83$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Yes | 59c | 405.17$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…e52ebacked Yes | 55c | 403.64$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 44c | 400.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.24 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 43c | 385.59$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 39c | 365.06$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…cf0cbacked Yes | 59c | 339.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes | 60c | 322.58$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Yes | 59c | 309.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…ead4backed No | 41c | 290$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Yes | 59c | 282.73$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ca…3e70backed Yes | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e197backed Yes | 60c | 265.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 43c | 263.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6e…bd19backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 59c | 242.08$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7161…ad39backed Yes | 65c | 213.37$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 202.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…abbbbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…97babacked Yes | 54c | 179.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd463…198fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x244a…07c8backed Yes | 55c | 167.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…fb71backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…a2f1backed Yes | 64c | 156.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 45c | 149.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71de…6832backed Yes | 58c | 135.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae25…94bbbacked Yes | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7305…0c7bbacked Yes | 57c | 124.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Yes | 60c | 120.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Yes | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea7…c6a0backed Yes | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed Yes | 60c | 117.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 59c | 114.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 59c | 113.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 30c | 103.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…8709backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…80cebacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…4b9ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…05fabacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…0131backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Yes | 60c | 99.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4882…39b7backed Yes | 52c | 95.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…e77cbacked Yes | 59c | 89.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…fc6cbacked Yes | 59c | 88.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 41c | 88.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 55c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…a199backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657d…4893backed Yes | 57c | 87.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…afecbacked Yes | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…f649backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e61…230abacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…4bcbbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…ba40backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Josh Hokit won
- Will Derrick Lewis win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.