TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa706…4b9e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+60%+$75
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$43.61
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.74
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$143.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$107.57
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$163.91
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.99
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.95
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$82.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$10
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.25
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$43.75
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$82.25
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$26.75
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$300.09
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$35.25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$77
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$106.99
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.86
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$21.38
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$91
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.49
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$81.42
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$143.33
Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$237.05
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$224.8
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$233.22
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$350
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Daniel Altmaier vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.45
Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.89
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Miami Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$398.2
Miami Open, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Jay Clarkebacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.49
Miami Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Coleman Wongbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186
Miami Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$95.81
Miami Open, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.01
Miami Open, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Coleman Wongbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.2
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.96
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+133%+$57.09
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,154.39
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$478.22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamar Cardinals vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$212.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$96.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.