NHL · resolved market
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd142a0bf1ec194db953c48f94cf1143a511880e6cb6f2a607836d02c460771d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sibir Novosibirskof Sibir Novosibirsk, Metallurg Magnitogorsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 71c | 1,661$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0859…43acbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 73c | 1,082$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 39c | 905.3$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.67 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 35c | 885.81$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.01 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 31c | 639.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.46 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…0547backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 35c | 520.96$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…a955backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 79c | 482.6$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 35c | 470.73$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.34 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 30c | 370.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.11 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 330.16$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.72 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 42c | 315.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 303.04$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.28 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…4b9ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 301.17$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 38c | 296.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.83 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 28c | 281.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 42c | 276.07$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 20c | 227.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 55c | 179.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 44c | 175.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 45c | 173.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 162$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 34c | 153.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 149.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 28c | 147.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 37c | 143.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 23c | 128.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 34c | 113.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 29c | 110.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 47c | 102.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 61c | 101.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 66c | 97.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 30c | 92.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 64c | 80.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 56c | 80.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…400dbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 45c | 74.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 30c | 65.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 66c | 58.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…7745backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 56c | 54.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 48.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 47.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 43c | 46.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…517ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 41c | 42.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 73c | 40.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…df60backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 33c | 38.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…f16cbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 62c | 36.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 63c | 35.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 34.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 55c | 31.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 28.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 58c | 27.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 56c | 26.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…2139backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 48c | 22.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 56c | 22.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 21.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…242bbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 71c | 20.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf79…796ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 18.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…def1backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 71c | 16.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.