NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Spartak Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb0a8841e7761b40cb09e85782f31fdc780c60197f2925eb191cc6cd413e2395
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spartak Moscowof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Spartak Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Spartak Moscow | 30c | 4,081$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.85 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 2,485$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 73c | 451.46$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spartak Moscow | 28c | 388.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Spartak Moscow | 27c | 345.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 313.75$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 68c | 238$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 67c | 211.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 193$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Spartak Moscow | 28c | 188.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 179$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Spartak Moscow | 27c | 149.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Spartak Moscow | 71c | 137.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spartak Moscow | 25c | 132.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 131.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…4b9ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 67c | 127.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Spartak Moscow | 45c | 120.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Spartak Moscow | 24c | 115$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 62c | 114.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Spartak Moscow | 41c | 114$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Spartak Moscow | 33c | 111.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…2d68backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 105.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spartak Moscow | 45c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Spartak Moscow | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 73c | 84.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 35c | 82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…74d4backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 69.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…d5c0backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 73c | 68.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Spartak Moscow | 26c | 66.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 61c | 65.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Spartak Moscow | 35c | 65.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Spartak Moscow | 26c | 62.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Spartak Moscow | 29c | 62.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 65c | 61.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Spartak Moscow | 28c | 58.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 22c | 47.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 34.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Spartak Moscow | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…10c0backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2e57backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 27.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 73c | 27.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Spartak Moscow | 38c | 26.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…547fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…48bebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 73c | 22.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…9a3fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.