TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb902…10c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
242
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11135.1%39 W · 72 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.5
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$47.99
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.95
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.4
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.1
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42%+$23.68
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$344
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$93
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.37
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will Maxime Raynaud be named to the 2026 NBA All-Rookie First Team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Derik Queen be named to the 2026 NBA All-Rookie First Team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Bad Homburg Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertensbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.12
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$57.6
Set Handicap: Vekic (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.12
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovicbacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Vicenza: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Samuele Pieribacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dubrovnik: Teodora Kostovic vs Alina Charaevabacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Hayato Matsuokabacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Yokkaichi: San-Hui Shin vs Masamichi Imamurabacked Masamichi Imamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$7.92
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hailey Baptistebacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$8.22
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Spartak Moscowbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$5.48
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+27%+$10.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.