Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Louisville Cardinals (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b7f9464ddaa5c4949a268cebf7461850774e0c87935775c405e24c29c168d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisville Cardinalsof Alabama Crimson Tide, Louisville Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,762 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 10,373$7,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.09 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Louisville Cardinals | 74c | 4,071$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.73 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 4,004$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 30c | 3,767$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4e…44b3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 4c | 2,290$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 1,860$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.09 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 25c | 1,767$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.6 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 23c | 1,739$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.57 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 23c | 1,425$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.11 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 16c | 1,389$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 32c | 991.56$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 30c | 825.03$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.46 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 799.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 32c | 663.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 648.88$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisville Cardinals | 78c | 613.47$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.53 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 612.65$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 473.19$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 26c | 410.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 23c | 404.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…467bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 25c | 403.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 28c | 349.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 325.55$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 31c | 294.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…f1b3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 23c | 257.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 21c | 249.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…6c19backed Louisville Cardinals | 69c | 232.32$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 206.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 26c | 192.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 192.22$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 186.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 182.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 179.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 21c | 170.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 25c | 165.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +95%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 23c | 160.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 26c | 151.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 28c | 138.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 135.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…c61abacked Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 135$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 134.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 126.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 121.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 27c | 109.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 31c | 108.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 31c | 108.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 16c | 92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Louisville Cardinals | 67c | 89.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Louisville Cardinals | 80c | 85.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 84.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 83.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…e4d9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 78.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 69.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…71c3backed Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 59.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed Louisville Cardinals | 80c | 51.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 49.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 31c | 48.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 31c | 47.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3953…c360backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 46.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 45.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 29c | 44.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…83d5backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 42.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 41.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 80c | 38.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 31c | 36.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 35.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 31.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Louisville Cardinals | 80c | 27.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Louisville Cardinals | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5939backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed Louisville Cardinals | 74c | 17.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…2b6cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 78c | 15.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 13.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Louisville Cardinals | 78c | 13.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa616…203ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 78c | 12.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…10c0backed Louisville Cardinals | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.