TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ba3…6c19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.52
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.23
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.69
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$13.51
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$41.45
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$21.06
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.46
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$63.52
Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Will Team Falcons win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.51
Will The MongolZ win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$172.57
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$45.31
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.54
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$20.83
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.49
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$31.95
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.29
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.5wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$147.44
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$149.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.86
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$290.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$87.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Louisville Cardinals (W)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$72.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.