TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Split: Lukas Neumayer vs Duje Ajdukovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lukas Neumayerof Lukas Neumayer, Duje Ajdukovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Lukas Neumayer63c8,998$5,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,355.8965558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Duje Ajdukovic20c2,558$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Lukas Neumayer66c2,538$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.435848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Duje Ajdukovic12c2,375$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.992,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Duje Ajdukovic38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76058734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Duje Ajdukovic38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9858232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7822…f8b8backed Lukas Neumayer63c1,698$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…8f37backed Duje Ajdukovic37c1,696$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lukas Neumayer76c1,653$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.987,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Duje Ajdukovic38c1,636$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.961,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Duje Ajdukovic17c1,576$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.832,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Duje Ajdukovic37c1,419$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.514,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Duje Ajdukovic39c1,291$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008659.3%51 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Duje Ajdukovic23c1,213$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.063,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Lukas Neumayer60c1,153$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.3656757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Duje Ajdukovic19c1,117$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.316,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Duje Ajdukovic39c1,020$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.81,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x931e…e8e8backed Lukas Neumayer67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Lukas Neumayer63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.1630857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Duje Ajdukovic30c823.04$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.581,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Duje Ajdukovic37c800.39$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.961,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d63…8b8cbacked Duje Ajdukovic33c780.3$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.53154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Duje Ajdukovic34c757.48$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.368,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Duje Ajdukovic36c723.3$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.627,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Duje Ajdukovic19c678.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.892,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Duje Ajdukovic41c610.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf4…d0cfbacked Duje Ajdukovic33c591.27$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Lukas Neumayer61c572.42$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4230744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Duje Ajdukovic25c543$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Duje Ajdukovic25c501$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9750644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Duje Ajdukovic25c501$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7799044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…8a23backed Duje Ajdukovic4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203324.2%8 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Lukas Neumayer63c477.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9923965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Duje Ajdukovic25c476$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6926941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8742…5e43backed Duje Ajdukovic10c457.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.972528%7 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeba…9ff9backed Duje Ajdukovic25c447$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Lukas Neumayer63c444.13$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Duje Ajdukovic29c437.69$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9323429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Duje Ajdukovic38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15212740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Lukas Neumayer77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6147946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Duje Ajdukovic35c364.29$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12635040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Duje Ajdukovic38c362.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6354434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Duje Ajdukovic8c359.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.861,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Duje Ajdukovic19c336.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.934,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Lukas Neumayer64c328.13$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.937146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Lukas Neumayer62c323$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7438268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Duje Ajdukovic14c315.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.331,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Duje Ajdukovic37c314.26$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.631,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…359bbacked Duje Ajdukovic16c313.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.231250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Lukas Neumayer64c312.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.791,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Lukas Neumayer77c300.9$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Duje Ajdukovic37c284.89$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4686835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Duje Ajdukovic38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Duje Ajdukovic38c260$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Duje Ajdukovic41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Duje Ajdukovic23c234.22$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.874443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Duje Ajdukovic20c218.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.422,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Lukas Neumayer64c203.36$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.854,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Lukas Neumayer62c203.23$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2341544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Duje Ajdukovic38c201$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.384124.4%10 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Lukas Neumayer61c195.97$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9750364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Lukas Neumayer61c194$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.664163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Duje Ajdukovic38c189.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.210242.2%43 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Duje Ajdukovic16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c31…ae43backed Duje Ajdukovic11c185.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.74933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lukas Neumayer61c185$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.151,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Lukas Neumayer62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2933149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Lukas Neumayer62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2917655.1%97 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Lukas Neumayer63c159$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8353457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Lukas Neumayer63c158.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.814555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Lukas Neumayer63c158.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.817945.6%36 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Duje Ajdukovic16c155.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5131358.5%183 W · 130 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Duje Ajdukovic33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Duje Ajdukovic35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Lukas Neumayer63c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.57146.5%33 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Lukas Neumayer79c149.58$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4148650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Lukas Neumayer64c147.4$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0413748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Duje Ajdukovic22c139.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.276,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Lukas Neumayer65c138.45$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.462744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Lukas Neumayer79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5816447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Lukas Neumayer79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5823248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Duje Ajdukovic41c122.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012142.1%51 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Duje Ajdukovic33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Lukas Neumayer72c120.13$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18d…9dcabacked Lukas Neumayer63c119.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…41d9backed Duje Ajdukovic36c111.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405650%28 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Lukas Neumayer68c111.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0817447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba3…6c19backed Lukas Neumayer64c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Lukas Neumayer60c105.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.131,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Lukas Neumayer63c104$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4855660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Duje Ajdukovic38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3824547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Lukas Neumayer65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3546556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Lukas Neumayer64c99.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.492030%6 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Duje Ajdukovic32c99.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.93,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe725…7005backed Lukas Neumayer64c98.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Lukas Neumayer64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7516957.4%97 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Duje Ajdukovic16c93.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3712548%60 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Duje Ajdukovic33c91.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2853544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Duje Ajdukovic41c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.930349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Lukas Neumayer77c85.75$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.721,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.