TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,896 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed No73c31,610$22,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,685.118941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c26,962$7,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,175.562,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes26c16,081$4,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,181.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c14,187$10,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.7268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No72c12,061$8,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3776346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No73c9,771$7,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.692766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No72c9,042$6,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.835347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No72c7,954$5,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.211450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No72c7,325$5,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.05785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c6,738$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.0196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes26c5,965$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.9224939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes28c3,546$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.941827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No72c3,372$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.22867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes17c2,826$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.71540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes11c2,572$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.421,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c1,760$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.2740549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes28c1,621$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.96349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes27c1,521$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.7633148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No72c1,435$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.783452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No72c1,379$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.06875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes28c1,280$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.454030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68b…7044backed Yes26c1,280$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No72c1,209$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.5237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes28c1,126$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.32142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba3…6c19backed No72c1,037$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes4c1,023$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.463847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes6c993$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.582540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes28c992.94$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.0213752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No73c938.68$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.444553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No72c834.07$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.542450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c777.63$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7442347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10517744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1967558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No72c660.31$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.891650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc876…1a19backed Yes29c540.9$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13046047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes29c469.01$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.012445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes25c424.74$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.511136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes28c354.62$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2912920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Yes7c299.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.491618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid+26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Yes17c292.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.75728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes11c272.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.713650%18 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes28c258.23$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.326040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes28c249.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9211150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes16c248.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8121054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c228.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8832854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes28c212.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3614553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ebb…7e02backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes27c196.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7539354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes28c196.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1923244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes14c192.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.891330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No74c184.93$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.083754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No71c180.84$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4416045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes16c175.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.866136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed No72c160$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32aa…0c01backed Yes21c159.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf232…858fbacked No73c136.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes8c134.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3212044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes24c132.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes28c127.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.755545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf676…09c5backed Yes25c122$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked No72c110.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes28c107.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.03714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe631…4dc0backed Yes28c106.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d9…a600backed Yes26c101.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29d9…91a2backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes11c99.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.962339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes28c99.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.96628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Yes15c99.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa453…9d57backed No75c99.34$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes26c99.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8226747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes28c99.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes28c99.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.817955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2749…d993backed No72c99.29$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f1…8136backed Yes28c99.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes28c95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.612350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed No72c90.81$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.083100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…fbfebacked No75c82.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes17c77.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1330828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes28c75.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.014825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c62.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1341854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0304…a3f6backed Yes25c61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26560%39 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes26c59.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.420741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed No73c54.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.691361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked No72c53.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked Yes28c53.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.892759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes28c51.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3824955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1313146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142450%12 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No74c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4823353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Yes28c44.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.411811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-69.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed No72c41.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+65.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.