Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacb8c50507b197a1538a2c5e9ba0bae2497b9f7bff247947f5bb582423b2d3c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,035 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 13c | 112,168$14,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,242.29 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 16c | 70,496$11,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,279.41 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 44,427$7,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,108.36 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes | 16c | 16,094$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 15c | 12,699$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.87 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 7,028$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.8 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 6c | 6,005$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.85 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 3,612$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 16c | 3,476$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 4c | 3,163$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,933$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 2,372$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.77 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 7c | 2,291$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.34 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Yes | 7c | 2,034$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,975$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 1,535$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 7c | 1,507$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 4c | 1,113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 3c | 712.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 650.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Yes | 15c | 583.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…1a19backed Yes | 17c | 544.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Yes | 7c | 541.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Yes | 16c | 435.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 5c | 396.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 15c | 371.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 15c | 362.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 16c | 337.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 15c | 324.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 14c | 321.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed Yes | 18c | 308.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Yes | 16c | 283.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 7c | 273.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 6c | 249.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…0054backed Yes | 17c | 248.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes | 18c | 244.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed Yes | 15c | 217.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 16c | 189.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Yes | 15c | 186.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 16c | 181.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Yes | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 16c | 155.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 16c | 153.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Yes | 16c | 143.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Yes | 16c | 143.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc57…e605backed Yes | 17c | 135.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 16c | 129.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 16c | 119.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 17c | 110.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1270…ee5ebacked Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 15c | 108.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 16c | 105.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Yes | 17c | 104.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…cfdabacked Yes | 16c | 100.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 17c | 100.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 17c | 100.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 15c | 99.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 16c | 99.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 15c | 89.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 15c | 82.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Yes | 17c | 77.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 17c | 73.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 15c | 69.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.