TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,263,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,263,801 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 757 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1be…cc57backed No45c2,002,771$902,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,317.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes56c760,000$424,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335,8008743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes54c300,691$162,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138,317.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes55c198,268$109,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,220.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes55c186,689$102,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,694.6933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes60c125,507$74,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,819.982,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes54c87,773$47,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,375.657160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes57c80,827$45,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,070.189137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes72c77,634$55,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,028.3996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked No42c75,892$31,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,501.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes54c53,445$28,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,584.75736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c53,379$29,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,397.3268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes57c50,516$28,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,973.161650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No44c49,993$21,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,996.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes54c45,000$24,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,7003562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed No43c38,888$16,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,721.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No43c35,200$15,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,135.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes57c29,964$17,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,884.314254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes56c27,269$15,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,902.914070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c27,145$14,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,24198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes55c24,783$13,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,152.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No44c23,149$10,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,185.722650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No43c22,380$9,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,623.343135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes54c22,276$11,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,316.1116045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c20,490$11,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,676.2948144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Yes55c17,864$9,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,950.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes58c16,988$9,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,128.1593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No43c15,660$6,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,734.016349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes54c15,233$8,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,006.996659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No44c12,845$5,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,652.011338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No42c12,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.921353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes77c11,371$8,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.392040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes56c10,326$5,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,543.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed No23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes59c9,330$5,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,825.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes56c9,206$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.483815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes59c8,277$4,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.943754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No44c8,099$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,563.462339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No44c8,055$3,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,544.161241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Yes55c8,011$4,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,605520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes65c7,987$5,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.471,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes80c7,938$6,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.5213946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes53c7,666$4,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,602.933951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No43c7,344$3,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,157.738941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…05b2backed No41c6,474$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.331233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No43c6,000$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.992231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No42c5,921$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.372142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.985641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No44c4,985$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.255653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes61c4,962$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.075158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes60c4,496$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.5524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes57c4,348$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.793237.5%12 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes56c4,335$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No41c4,198$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.416142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No44c4,023$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes55c4,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8102227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8260…eb17backed Yes56c3,606$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes56c3,476$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.443158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes57c3,358$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.1135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No44c3,150$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3862240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3203125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Yes56c2,986$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+92.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No18c2,972$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.5134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.2733357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes58c2,717$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.546357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes56c2,690$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.46659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes56c2,655$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.411172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes56c2,655$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.413756.8%21 W · 16 L+7.6wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+81.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7852…3eabbacked Yes56c2,486$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.741478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes56c2,379$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.894837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf80…4e15backed Yes77c2,233$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes57c2,141$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.8313752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes58c2,093$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.443256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes56c2,036$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.91250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes57c2,004$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes58c2,000$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes57c2,000$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8803046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No40c1,979$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.591323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No45c1,975$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.92429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes55c1,893$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.6510451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes55c1,838$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.6411150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes55c1,802$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.094546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes56c1,771$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.53250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No23c1,744$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.212360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No43c1,654$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.6940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No45c1,631$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.953354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes59c1,487$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.793860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Yes57c1,475$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Yes56c1,441$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No45c1,412$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.251741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No43c1,405$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.371942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf18…179abacked Yes57c1,397$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes57c1,392$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.6812049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes57c1,391$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.112661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes80c1,243$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.62450%12 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes57c1,210$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.961250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.