TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29d9…91a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT4348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Lightning vs. Canucksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$53.99
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.14
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$39.52
Spurs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will AEK Lárnakas vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.65
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Samsunspor vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Yibing Wubacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Miami Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30.24
Miami Open: Lilli Tagger vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Miami Open, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Jay Clarkebacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
Miami Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rochabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.