Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x649743bf6026b6954cbce9f684f15ab9c8d158976506509f16ee53c5dcddce09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, 1. FC Union Berlin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,874 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked FC Bayern München | 46c | 9,039$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.47 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 4,823$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.33 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 55c | 4,491$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked FC Bayern München | 48c | 4,429$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.93 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 54c | 4,345$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked FC Bayern München | 46c | 3,482$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 54c | 3,322$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.27 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 53c | 3,290$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.7 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 54c | 3,140$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 1,217$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.27 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked FC Bayern München | 71c | 875$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 54c | 748.05$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 583$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 530.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 53c | 433.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 433.06$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 53c | 433.06$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 336$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 55c | 325.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked FC Bayern München | 31c | 322.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 307.71$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 52c | 277.56$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 270.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…83b5backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 59c | 267.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 253.85$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 253.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked FC Bayern München | 46c | 215.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…2834backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 10c | 203$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 55c | 178.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 166.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 52c | 132.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…0bd5backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 40c | 127.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 113.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…c1ebbacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 88.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 55c | 84.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 53c | 82.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 69.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…eff1backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 64.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 61.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 53c | 61.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 53.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 31c | 53.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb154…f726backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 52.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…d815backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 48.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…91a2backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 54c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 44.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…792fbacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…6816backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 42.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 53c | 41.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…6f29backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked FC Bayern München | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 57c | 32.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 31.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 31.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…25e4backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 40c | 28.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…b089backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0124backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -6.1wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.