Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeea95b525fd0e15c03b5cda49188965ec4c065075b4e0843004f5c70f55d0349
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,267 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 50c | 4,556$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.84 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 3,799$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.27 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 2,904$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 49c | 2,701$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed No | 60c | 2,351$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Yes | 50c | 2,283$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 50c | 2,041$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Yes | 50c | 2,003$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 37c | 1,240$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.96 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 846.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.18 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed No | 51c | 792.16$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 642$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 44c | 568.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked No | 50c | 525.96$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed No | 51c | 457.12$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…22fbbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…07a9backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 363.2$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.23 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 50c | 356.31$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Yes | 51c | 298.04$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 50c | 281.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed No | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 48c | 228.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 51c | 224$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 50c | 214.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Yes | 49c | 202.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…e882backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 76c | 191.01$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…582abacked No | 51c | 189$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…b2b5backed No | 52c | 188$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 50c | 188$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…383abacked No | 51c | 186$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad36…e1e6backed Yes | 49c | 174.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed No | 66c | 166.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…9a52backed No | 52c | 166$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db4…dc10backed Yes | 49c | 163.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…7489backed Yes | 49c | 156.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…c530backed Yes | 49c | 156.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…653abacked No | 51c | 153$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15d…fe7dbacked No | 51c | 153$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…1bb5backed Yes | 49c | 150.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…9806backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d8…c009backed Yes | 49c | 144.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…23d3backed No | 51c | 143$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db6…4f15backed Yes | 49c | 141$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked No | 50c | 136.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa407…42ebbacked Yes | 49c | 132.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ba…bfcfbacked No | 51c | 130.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…9237backed No | 51c | 127$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…27b4backed Yes | 49c | 123.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e17…8a49backed No | 51c | 123$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ac…353cbacked Yes | 49c | 122.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f7…24f5backed Yes | 49c | 121.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…1df3backed No | 51c | 121$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ef…6a80backed No | 51c | 119.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…3101backed Yes | 35c | 110.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Yes | 43c | 105.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed No | 66c | 101.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked No | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked No | 78c | 97.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 93.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…c1ebbacked No | 51c | 91.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked No | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed No | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…b00fbacked Yes | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Yes | 50c | 79.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b5…e29dbacked Yes | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 42c | 76.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…270fbacked No | 60c | 73.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…d35dbacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 50c | 64.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked No | 50c | 61.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 25c | 61.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.