Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b391df5d293ec1f9d773859ec16cf0f50d4bd6016add9e01292c4a4bfe3138c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,258 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 13,837$9,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.96 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 55c | 9,014$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 64c | 7,269$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.92 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 26c | 6,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.98 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 42c | 3,532$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.68 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,422$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 36c | 2,100$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 34c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Over | 37c | 1,842$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 64c | 1,535$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.65 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 43c | 899.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 821.18$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.9 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Under | 61c | 820.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 36c | 798$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 33c | 754.04$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.91 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 751.92$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Over | 68c | 741.61$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.99 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 31c | 700$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 37c | 578$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.86 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Over | 35c | 576.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 53c | 550$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over | 57c | 526.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 35c | 504.96$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 35c | 468.5$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 67c | 425.28$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 36c | 416.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 30c | 415$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 35c | 334.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 77c | 332.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.59 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 65c | 331.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Under | 42c | 327.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Over | 34c | 290.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…35fdbacked Over | 31c | 277.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Over | 36c | 245$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 54c | 232.38$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 34c | 209.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Over | 73c | 205$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 57c | 204.83$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 64c | 192.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Under | 52c | 187.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 51c | 178.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 173.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 31c | 166.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.41 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 65c | 158.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 71c | 147.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…97b6backed Over | 35c | 134.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 65c | 129.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…5ab7backed Over | 64c | 127.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 120.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Over | 30c | 116.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 31c | 103.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 66c | 91.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 35c | 87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 71c | 86.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…d815backed Over | 51c | 86.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 34c | 72.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…0657backed Over | 35c | 71.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 69c | 71.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb387…4a00backed Over | 35c | 71.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…28ffbacked Over | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…f5bfbacked Over | 69c | 69.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 44c | 67.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 65c | 65.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 65c | 63.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…4c1bbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…b82dbacked Over | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 25c | 49.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Over | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 69c | 47.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 53c | 46.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 51c | 46.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Under | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…62dabacked Over | 56c | 43.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +293.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 43.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 28c | 42.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.