TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9403…7361

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
328
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 59 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT15522.6%35 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.08
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT6334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$46.4
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$64.62
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+187.6%+$131.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.36
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$117.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$87.61
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4452.3%23 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.31
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.38
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$582.59
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$81.59
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$127.7
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+93.7%+$84.34
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$29.05
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$119.5
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30.55
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$110
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+222.6%+$34.5
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.25
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$535
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.96
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.67
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$58.46
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.22
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$146.47
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$146.47
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$112.86
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$33.75
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$44.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.