TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Michael Olise: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,522 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No70c9,253$6,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.8574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d2…4bddbacked Yes10c5,284$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.4450%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed No69c5,240$3,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.2512825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabad…6950backed Yes31c4,246$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.15425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9616260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed No70c3,500$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0505242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9546464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes29c2,503$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.8112616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes30c2,000$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.573,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c1,870$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.732,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46531171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed No70c1,286$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.896261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes31c1,081$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3355429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f5d…e4e5backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003928.2%11 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No71c955$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5715252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No70c853$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.552,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes30c817.28$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.943,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1928…1953backed No70c688.91$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.39450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb67…b610backed Yes28c647$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804617.4%8 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…4155backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes14c618.12$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.631,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No71c599.98$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9928873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No72c593.43$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.56671.2%47 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44d8…9574backed Yes31c558.06$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732119%4 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff44…9e86backed Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+70.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90af…faa9backed No70c390.59$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.181136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes30c390$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf2…a5ebbacked Yes31c369.84$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No70c359.99$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392f…7210backed Yes29c348.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005733.3%19 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes29c345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0519713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02aa…4413backed Yes29c344.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9212547.2%59 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes31c343$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3330463.5%193 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019938.2%76 W · 123 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09de…0b68backed Yes30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.95147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No70c332.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.961,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9336…362ebacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick31cpaid-88.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes29c294.87$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.053,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes27c279.86$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2312235.2%43 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.54729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06d…e9ddbacked Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c244.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No70c238.7$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7116946.2%78 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Yes28c207.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.214148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4268…b5d8backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028747%135 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015432.5%50 W · 104 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7521…0817backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507936.7%29 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd8…e741backed Yes31c164.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0067…cfb4backed Yes31c163.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503920.5%8 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507938%30 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d0…94e7backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b4…2c37backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014720.4%30 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506714.9%10 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e52…44e7backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458442.9%36 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes30c147.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457011.4%8 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed No70c137.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.46570.8%46 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc32…2516backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes31c137.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.021,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No72c135.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8217054.7%93 W · 77 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa739…19c8backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013141.2%54 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…5d76backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No74c128.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9637971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No71c119.2$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.142,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5222…f6e0backed Yes29c106.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112144.6%54 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes31c106.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322058.2%128 W · 92 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ab3…517cbacked Yes31c106.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335162.7%32 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb026…d4fdbacked Yes29c103.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.075030%15 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2254…f648backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeedb…a9e3backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317243.1%31 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes28c99.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9916149.7%80 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes30c99.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303630.6%11 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd559…8f48backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7263…d771backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015638.5%60 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c0…7aedbacked Yes28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.24540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d4…4064backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes31c83.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d5…cf0cbacked Yes25c82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.184963.3%31 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes29c81.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.551,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No75c77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.362,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x807b…bb59backed Yes35c74.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.822429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes29c73.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.531,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd6…c388backed No71c72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.882657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa9e…b529backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 99. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.