Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf212d2142a02c8e99bdbd7494ac31276240cfdb528bf748b9f9cffa4573c5a1f

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $12,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,352 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca7c…e994backed No	37c	2,472$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.36	373	50.1%187 W · 186 L	+45.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+28%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes	65c	2,392$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.69	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No	33c	2,067$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,384.96	162	60.5%98 W · 64 L	+22.3wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+29%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Yes	67c	1,413$947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.9	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Yes	63c	1,155$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.65	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	32c	999.94$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.96	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	65c	843$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.95	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No	35c	783.97$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.58	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No	34c	598.7$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.71	302	14.6%44 W · 258 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d5…880abacked No	33c	539.17$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.24	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.7wins	+0.29per pick	48cpaid	+52%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc643…1a02backed Yes	68c	522$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	67c	516.99$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.62	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes	66c	416.81$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.69	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70ef…0cdebacked No	33c	400$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No	31c	400$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes	67c	395.88$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.01	315	54.6%172 W · 143 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16d8…698bbacked Yes	68c	394.17$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	32c	330.65$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.82	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No	34c	291$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.06	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes	66c	232.99$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.11	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	33c	209.28$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.68	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cc…4526backed No	33c	166.67$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.67	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x608f…56d2backed Yes	67c	164.18$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Yes	66c	158.88$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.45	235	58.3%137 W · 98 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d19…5cebbacked Yes	68c	151.37$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.43	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4dd…39e4backed Yes	66c	150.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-6.8wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e72…8215backed No	38c	131.58$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.58	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes	63c	118.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.99	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	37c	113.93$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.67	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ec…1a4bbacked No	35c	109.47$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.68	63	66.7%42 W · 21 L	+12.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+52.8%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes	65c	109$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.85	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38ec…d00dbacked Yes	34c	108.04$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.25	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	232	40.5%94 W · 138 L	-11.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed No	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	90	78.9%71 W · 19 L	+18.9wins	+0.21per pick	58cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed No	35c	99.83$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.27	191	25.1%48 W · 143 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+79.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f99…4ef3backed No	33c	90.91$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.91	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf86…25abbacked No	36c	86.02$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.02	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56b…0f63backed Yes	68c	83.82$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f81…b053backed Yes	67c	80$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	61cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9899…5d02backed Yes	67c	75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.25	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x846e…bf3cbacked Yes	68c	73.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Yes	69c	71.41$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.27	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73bb…a554backed Yes	68c	70$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.6	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	29c	60.45$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.62	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Yes	65c	56.9$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.99	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes	67c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	31c	49.7$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.29	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1649…6de4backed No	33c	45.45$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes	64c	45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.95	337	29.1%98 W · 239 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f48…8275backed Yes	67c	44.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	133	64.7%86 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4433…0c4bbacked Yes	68c	44.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	66	60.6%40 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	33c	42.77$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.71	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Yes	66c	42$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.72	403	52.1%210 W · 193 L	+16.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e64…9cb7backed No	33c	40$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.8	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked No	31c	40$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce07…66bfbacked No	45c	38.82$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.47	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes	67c	37.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac19…c3ffbacked Yes	67c	37.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	125	48.8%61 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	31c	35.77$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.68	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8c…e77dbacked No	80c	30.36$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.18	28	96.4%27 W · 1 L	+6.6wins	+0.23per pick	73cpaid	+40%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	75c	29.96$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fa…8755backed Yes	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes	67c	25.08$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Yes	64c	22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	282	57.1%161 W · 121 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes	67c	21.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	366	34.4%126 W · 240 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b2a…65b3backed No	50c	21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x213d…2978backed Yes	68c	21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	108	58.3%63 W · 45 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes	50c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	457	40.3%184 W · 273 L	-28.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab90…e314backed Yes	66c	20.59$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.59	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+4.8wins	+0.18per pick	36cpaid	+147.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes	66c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 99. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsthis page
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ assistsNo won
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
Adrien Rabiot: 2+ shotsNo won
Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
Alex Baena: 2+ shotsYes won
Alex Baena: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ assistsNo won
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Aymeric Laporte: 1+ shotsNo won
Bradley Barcola: 1+ assistsNo won
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
Brice Samba: 3+ savesNo won
Brice Samba: 4+ savesNo won
Cucurella: 1+ shotsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsYes won
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsNo won
Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
David Raya: 3+ savesNo won
David Raya: 4+ savesNo won
David Raya: 5+ savesNo won
Dayot Upamecano: 1+ shotsNo won
Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsYes won
Désiré Doué: 1+ shots on targetYes won
Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsYes won
Désiré Doué: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 2+ goalsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
Jules Koundé: 1+ shotsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shotsYes won
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ shotsYes won
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shotsYes won
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shotsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 5+ shotsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event