TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$608,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$601,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,006 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No55c131,497$72,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,173.7410740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No55c93,870$51,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,285.3874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes45c77,048$34,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,663.071,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No57c50,005$28,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,502.1377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x364d…9f8fbacked No59c44,724$26,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,433.922166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes45c35,000$15,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,75012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77dc…fb03backed Yes46c33,295$15,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,302.351758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes45c17,778$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No68c16,551$11,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,364.394,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No55c15,000$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7004652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c14,800$8,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5921,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes44c12,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.7938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c11,617$5,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,229.78,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Yes45c11,111$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No56c10,370$5,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,601.0614325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a06…201bbacked Yes45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52030214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Yes43c7,866$3,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,382.385242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No56c7,143$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.8616260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed No56c6,990$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.774042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes45c5,556$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f5d…946ebacked Yes45c5,359$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.433250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed No53c5,158$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.35749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cc…c7c7backed Yes44c5,145$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.994323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Yes44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes45c4,766$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.695429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed No54c4,687$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.199563.2%60 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ee…e02fbacked Yes45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e4…6d13backed Yes45c4,308$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7608743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76011343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked No56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7602100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No56c3,727$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.6432765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No55c3,448$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.313163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2d…990cbacked Yes45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50015054.7%82 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No60c3,257$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.3546464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No67c3,254$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.492,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes44c3,250$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No55c3,141$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.472653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes41c3,016$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.8836123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1305…46d2backed Yes35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0502972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No56c2,898$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27570750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No56c2,851$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.132,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Yes43c2,791$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19cd…997abacked Yes36c2,691$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.71643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No57c2,612$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.563366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes41c2,576$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.167241.7%30 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No56c2,535$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.0597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d2…4bddbacked Yes30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked No56c2,450$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07813731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes30c2,440$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.431,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes45c2,400$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes38c2,368$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d74…04a3backed Yes41c2,365$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.47333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351a…0302backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003132.3%10 W · 21 L-6.1wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Yes45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004065%26 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No55c2,200$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9715054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked Yes21c2,150$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4542321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes47c2,107$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007627.6%21 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeec…05d8backed No56c2,065$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick40cpaid+117.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8807552%39 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6a…fcadbacked Yes44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9840%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes42c1,928$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.6875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea16…4bd8backed Yes45c1,848$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.572055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes22c1,832$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.9220013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc229…eca8backed No53c1,761$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes46c1,758$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.4363035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9f…de68backed Yes32c1,598$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.432619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+87.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes45c1,506$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.9116341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55533149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f69…69c5backed Yes9c1,490$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.41225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes28c1,487$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.1118843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc057…1e47backed Yes45c1,480$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6665362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No56c1,430$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.214945%67 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a1…20c5backed Yes45c1,388$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.551513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-78%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a72…d306backed Yes41c1,376$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.999161.5%56 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes45c1,364$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61415140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes41c1,347$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No73c1,308$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.921,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…31dbbacked Yes35c1,295$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4552556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes45c1,284$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5782060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No56c1,268$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.783,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Yes45c1,235$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.5510339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No55c1,209$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.1937959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5d…24bbbacked Yes37c1,199$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.0513445.5%61 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292a…e42fbacked Yes45c1,181$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.363622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes17c1,180$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes44c1,177$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.2863544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed Yes1c1,150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710849.1%53 W · 55 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7b…274ebacked Yes39c1,146$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No56c1,131$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.4814860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No56c1,112$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.8125454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008254.9%45 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007652.6%40 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6335…565cbacked Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-86.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x931c…a002backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 99. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.