TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafac…8730backed Yes13c147,740$19,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,206.189219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes14c21,113$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes12c15,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes1c8,000$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126129.5%18 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c7,910$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ee…e02fbacked Yes12c7,478$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes12c2,962$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36536123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes13c2,423$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3155429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Yes13c2,389$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3554…d825backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200358.6%3 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-75.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes9c2,008$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6219823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…14e8backed Yes12c1,792$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes6c1,744$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.561,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc140…4e98backed Yes13c1,711$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.411421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36d…f165backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes13c1,465$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4512428.2%35 W · 89 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes13c1,253$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdef2…c543backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick16cpaid+101.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013011.5%15 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes9c1,177$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9730220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32d4…b3d3backed Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503718.9%7 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019643.4%85 W · 111 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes13c1,077$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020427.5%56 W · 148 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes13c961.54$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7f…70cdbacked Yes13c937.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes12c890.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2442336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ef…a9e7backed Yes12c841.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes12c834$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0819713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a31…ddc0backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb67…b610backed Yes12c818.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004617.4%8 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Yes12c799.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes13c796.63$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…facfbacked Yes12c779.42$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.536314.3%9 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd59c…bb63backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5d…24bbbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013445.5%61 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yes13c760$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.88348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x671a…ebb2backed Yes12c707.83$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.94812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dfa…ebefbacked Yes2c656.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc427…efdfbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50362.8%1 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd671…634cbacked Yes9c555$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%0 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8271…1b26backed Yes13c535.7$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.592832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553616.7%6 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Yes10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015837.3%59 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e72…8215backed Yes13c478.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622532%8 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes8c471.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Yes12c442.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558348.2%40 W · 43 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes13c437.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4815325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…c106backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed40…e2f4backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506850%34 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes12c410.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.320013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe2…58babacked Yes13c407.69$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532516%4 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcac9…b4bbbacked Yes13c405.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.775735.1%20 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95a6…b568backed Yes13c404.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.65937.3%22 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3f…6e55backed Yes13c385$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0580%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cab…7a73backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bf…5c1fbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702a…26f9backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50385.3%2 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-66.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fa7…2723backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506227.4%17 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb03…fbdebacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4ea…a1c3backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-66.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes7c370$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.98713.8%12 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3602…bfbcbacked Yes9c366.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.977042.9%30 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes12c340$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.84330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3f2…cf88backed Yes13c330.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f8…17cabacked Yes11c320.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351625%4 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b79…d63fbacked Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…ee4abacked Yes12c305.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes12c291.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab7…6872backed Yes12c291.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513351.1%68 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x039e…c213backed Yes11c275.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74b…4e15backed Yes13c269.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Yes13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.518426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ae…9f6dbacked Yes12c249$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc361…7babbacked Yes13c242.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55149%25 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes12c239.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.822730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d32…9973backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304020%8 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016935.5%60 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2d…0a9fbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010443.3%45 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x825d…b930backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-85.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fe6…8839backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cca…ef56backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes10c224$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41035.8%6 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ac…eab5backed Yes13c223.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.13910.3%4 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-82.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4665…23a8backed Yes12c211.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256219.4%12 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1501…783fbacked Yes12c211.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.464837.5%18 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+71.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed Yes12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b4…2c37backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 99. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.