TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47f7…0312

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT14663%92 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+800.9%+$133.35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.43
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$8.85
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$35.28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.77
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.31
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.93
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$29.77
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$16.36
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.46
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$19.3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$27.4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,515Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$388.45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+624.5%+$495.3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$429.44
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8348.2%40 W · 43 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.18
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+533.6%+$1,548.74
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.72
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+473.5%+$2,953.26
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.1
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olisebacked Olise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Kylian Mbappe score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.99
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+129%+$592.02
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$542.17
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,071.86
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,941.12
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$229
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$186.95
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$16.22
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.56
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$95.06
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.14
Will Seoul have between 35-40mm of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$163.6
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$132.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.