World Politics · resolved market
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d861bb608d5f9e41dee2ec7180d6c6f1d115182d3e3092a9173f6051872e6c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 51c | 4,525$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.55 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 43c | 4,088$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.09 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 29c | 3,410$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.33 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e4…c017backed Yes | 79c | 3,324$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 23c | 3,040$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 20c | 2,587$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…f7e7backed Yes | 75c | 2,424$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 75cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…cb61backed Yes | 77c | 2,240$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…14d9backed Yes | 40c | 2,141$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…84bfbacked Yes | 74c | 2,079$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…dd7cbacked No | 31c | 2,035$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…4041backed Yes | 69c | 1,717$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 25c | 1,461$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.79 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 71c | 1,445$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.14 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb66…a175backed No | 40c | 1,314$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 42c | 1,263$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…856bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,232$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…6388backed Yes | 72c | 980.15$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 63c | 920$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 73c | 909.99$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.3 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…8dcebacked Yes | 37c | 909$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 53c | 901$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.66 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…6411backed Yes | 37c | 866$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed No | 63c | 855$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fc…fc19backed Yes | 48c | 844.75$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2251…25a0backed No | 44c | 815.94$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 27c | 794.71$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.56 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…e1babacked Yes | 38c | 757.72$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 33c | 757.04$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.41 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 704.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.56 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 22c | 703.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.48 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 24c | 685.39$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.45 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 20c | 684.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.56 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…2e87backed Yes | 64c | 640$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 22c | 635.94$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.67 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…60d2backed No | 23c | 635.66$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +254.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 50c | 612$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.06 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…2694backed Yes | 72c | 610$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab3…303fbacked No | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2211…f15bbacked Yes | 39c | 599.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 26c | 594.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.37 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 24c | 558.19$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.51 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44a…5465backed No | 28c | 536.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Yes | 73c | 535.49$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…26efbacked Yes | 41c | 512.08$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes | 70c | 509.99$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.45 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9967…09cabacked Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…517dbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…f7ffbacked No | 22c | 493$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1e…1e21backed Yes | 68c | 487.21$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…6c12backed Yes | 45c | 484.78$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Yes | 77c | 474.47$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…d434backed Yes | 76c | 470.02$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 25c | 457.3$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.45 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…679ebacked Yes | 70c | 444.72$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.09 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 14c | 439.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 27c | 438$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.5 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…83e9backed Yes | 40c | 425.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 55c | 400.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…35acbacked Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 28c | 392.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.01 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…6ab4backed Yes | 75c | 386.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Yes | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…d641backed Yes | 47c | 381.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 68c | 380$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.21 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 45c | 366$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 42c | 339.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 30c | 316.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…9901backed Yes | 44c | 308.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 20c | 306.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…6c00backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…a288backed Yes | 24c | 286.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…4f06backed Yes | 46c | 283.87$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.73 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 31c | 280$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e6…c6dbbacked Yes | 74c | 269.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed Yes | 78c | 256.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 56c | 256.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 49c | 251.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…5beabacked No | 31c | 246.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +226.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 21c | 240.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.13 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 23c | 240.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.68 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed No | 67c | 240$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 73c | 230.25$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…a51ebacked No | 59c | 216.02$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…fad9backed Yes | 69c | 216$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 53c | 214$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 42c | 212.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 42c | 211.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa174…9535backed Yes | 77c | 211.22$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Yes | 47c | 201.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…7deabacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed Yes | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 35c | 193.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…864cbacked No | 16c | 193.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 71c | 188.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes | 42c | 182.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?this page
- Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No won
- Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes won
- Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No won
- Will Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.