TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf9fc…fc19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$48.96
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+281.1%+$182.69
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$21.59
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.58
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.38
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.55
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$62.87
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$475
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$200.6
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.66
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$100.69
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$9.49
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+91%+$15.47
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.37
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$3.53
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$20.44
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$51.35
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.97
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$38.47
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$19.18
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+137.1%+$23.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$44.16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+235.5%+$25.9
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.79
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$20.37
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+77%+$31.02
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Roger Pascual vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.56
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandezbacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.