MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x897472e107b886597e0bf7532e6ef391ef8940cf557b7677f77d22ab72c028f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $649,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $670,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $649,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 250,403$97,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152,756.63 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 88,888$54,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,221.66 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 64,772$39,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,510.81 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 57,500$35,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,650 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 46,836$26,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,714.87 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 30,662$18,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,220.35 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 25,555$9,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,844.1 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 21,764$11,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,197.11 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 21,451$8,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,181.9 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 21,025$12,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,535.76 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 21,010$8,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,606 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 14,200$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 12,500$7,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,625 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 11,122$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.25 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 10,959$7,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.98 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 7,891$5,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.19 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 7,836$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.33 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 6,829$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 6,685$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 6,661$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.14 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 6,377$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.42 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 6,339$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.21 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 6,150$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 6,003$4,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.41 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 4,372$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.66 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 4,157$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 4,080$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.19 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 3,708$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.84 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 3,532$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.79 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 3,243$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.34 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 3,134$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.66 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,780$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.73 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 2,399$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.21 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,234$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.34 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 2,160$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.41 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 2,130$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.97 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…61e5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,756$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.1 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,576$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.88 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,535$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.5 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 1,235$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.44 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,146$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.32 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 1,140$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 1,127$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.36 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,118$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.27 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,069$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.44 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…7dcbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,057$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,024$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.64 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,000$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.65 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 960$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 901.52$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.74 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 779.97$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.15 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 758$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.38 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…ccb4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 751.28$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 709.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 696.95$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.15 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 661.2$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 651.77$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.58 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 625$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 610.36$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.32 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 550$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 540$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a7…1fdbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 495$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 494.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.74 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 487.05$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.23 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 459.46$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 453.73$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 435.89$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 427.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.93 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 423.02$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 414.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 399.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 398$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.68 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 394.17$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.05 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 393.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 372.71$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 371.07$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 351$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.11 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 339.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.