TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04e6…3914backed Under53c9,071$4,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,807.369766%64 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c8,433$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.874,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under53c5,751$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0419643.8%42 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c5,096$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.9311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1b…f28abacked Over49c4,105$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.381844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Under3c3,368$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.68577%4 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+83%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c3,355$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.8428350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under3c3,200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88563.6%2 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Under3c3,200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88697.2%5 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+122.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c3,046$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.338,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c2,831$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.164,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Under2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60533.8%2 W · 51 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c1,553$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.062,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c1,138$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.6810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under52c1,094$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.882,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over49c1,039$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.8768053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over47c1,001$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.5841346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30430%0 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c949.58$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.781,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over47c839.51$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.082,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Under56c750$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under4c600$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2670737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under31c587.84$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1516132.3%52 W · 109 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Under2c560.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21320%0 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over47c438.23$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.111,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6713851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94be…e0b4backed Under53c412.94$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.861225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under40c356.28$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.511,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over47c328$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.561,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under53c301.34$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.711,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over48c284.04$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9751545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed Under4c258.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91614.9%3 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under29c238.23$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.094,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Over48c226.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.043548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c215.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under51c214.26$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2795252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Under52c190.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018356.8%104 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over44c187.63$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.515,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under55c184.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.741,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Under52c182.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958754%47 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under53c164.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.794,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over47c149.57$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2747350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over67c143.93$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.22,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over47c134$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0245045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1f…a7d2backed Over50c127.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.742339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.21,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under44c118.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.195,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over47c106$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1854642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5284651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69a…d57fbacked Under54c92.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under39c80.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.771,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.648,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.12,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6458…2a3bbacked Over49c65.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.631464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+50.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x757c…d1bfbacked Under52c56.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.23852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6f…cc7cbacked Under49c54.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.318051.3%41 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under52c53.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8245748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over49c51.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4931258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Over49c51.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.121152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under50c50.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.362,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2645445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512555.2%69 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over35c45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.251,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Under52c40.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0910642.5%45 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over48c40.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2142448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208644.2%38 W · 48 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed Under52c35.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.556342.9%27 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under33c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.752222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013946.8%65 W · 74 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4388247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.961948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1559749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over52c28.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8415050%75 W · 75 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Over49c28.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5420654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d5…1ca9backed Over48c24.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.863148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over47c22.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over49c22.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3613151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over49c20.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.471,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.417051.8%88 W · 82 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.