TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0570…16c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 62 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10642.5%45 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.54
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 14.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$44.1
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.08
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$39.16
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$13.16
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+277.7%+$79.44
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.38
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+204.2%+$44.27
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.58
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.23
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.77
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$25.77
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4753.2%25 W · 22 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+76.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
The Memphis Classic: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elvina Kalievabacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynetsbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.92
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+205.1%+$29.7
Hernandez vs. Magadan: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Kristina Liutova vs Maria Kozyrevabacked Maria Kozyreva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Roger Pascual vs Colton Smithbacked Roger Pascual · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$23.26
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winterbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+386.9%+$75.46
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenkobacked Ankita Raina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.64
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Mariam Bolkvadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$22.25
Bloomfield Hills: Borna Gojo vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Dhakshineswar Suresh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$7.02
Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Lucie Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Palermo: Mina Hodzic vs Noemi Basilettibacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Bublik vs. Molcan: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$14.73
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$35.99
Hamburg European Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sinja Krausbacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+314.2%+$112.84
Livesport Prague Open: Dominika Salkova vs Oceane Dodinbacked Oceane Dodin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$19.72
Generali Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Busebacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Tampere: Dali Blanch vs Tom Gentzschbacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.33
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.64
Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 180.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$13.66
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$39.28
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.32
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+231.2%+$50.01
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$16.32
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$31.97
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$27.32
Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$14.59
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$12.72
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$11.18
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.82
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.73
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.92
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+425.6%+$289.81
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+910.1%+$283.95
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.89
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.06
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.64
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.87
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.07
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.97
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.43
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$4.76
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.88
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.41
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.85
All 20 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)backed St. Louis City SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$16.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.