WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bdf96d2516df2ca4705d4c53aa76395ac9226abf273e76ba3520fd66bb9140a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 3,053$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.57 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 1,812$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 1,763$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.79 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo | 43c | 1,090$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.54 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 541.9$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.42 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 523$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Toronto Tempo | 38c | 518.04$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 511.31$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.51 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 509.26$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.26 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 497.38$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.95 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 485.9$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.61 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 342.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 340$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 62c | 259.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 220.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 212.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 182.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 168.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Atlanta Dream | 60c | 159.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 139.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Atlanta Dream | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Atlanta Dream | 58c | 98.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Atlanta Dream | 58c | 86.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 72.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 67.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 60.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 44.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…7158backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 37.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 34.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Toronto Tempo | 43c | 31.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 31.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 27.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Toronto Tempo | 43c | 27.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 25.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 21.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto TempoAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.