WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34f9abae7fcf513040b1066a1f5d399362d197932b1062fd5178f0b57c167536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 56c | 8,360$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,652.23 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 5,650$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.02 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 1,316$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.78 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 28c | 1,101$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 1,006$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.35 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 872.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.42 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 820.14$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.27 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 26c | 447.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 26c | 366.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 335.92$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.04 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 41c | 324.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 314.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 224.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 51c | 196.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 98.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…1a43backed Under | 31c | 59.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…cad7backed Over | 47c | 57.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 41.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 36.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…aae7backed Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 48c | 22.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Under | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 71c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto TempoAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.