WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa63fa1bbdd57adb24a269370238ad220fb2ccb928b94e449a42e4308d8496938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 4,734$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.97 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 3,246$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.88 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…9105backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 621.58$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.12 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 496.95$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.81 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 482$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 363.69$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 309.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 283.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 207.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Dream | 60c | 181$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 135.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…1750backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 133$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 43c | 118.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 106.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 100.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Toronto Tempo | 40c | 99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 85.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 52.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Toronto Tempo | 38c | 50.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Toronto Tempo | 34c | 36.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 30.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Dream | 59c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto TempoAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.