WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8237087e44bffd80b33c5cb162b68e80c77a39f32101c22e289ab738d51e7e68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 46c | 2,928$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.12 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 2,831$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.08 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,790$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.73 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 40c | 811.56$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.67 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 29c | 632$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.24 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 26c | 607.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.03 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 42c | 466.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 50c | 452.09$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.52 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 35c | 414.01$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 75c | 401.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 392.13$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.95 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 56c | 372.82$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 70c | 367.52$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 79c | 352.39$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Under | 56c | 345.13$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.27 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 21c | 311.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 67c | 299.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 46c | 288$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 251.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 21c | 225.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 218.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 49c | 205.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…60fbbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 32c | 194.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 182.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 41c | 175.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 71c | 147.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 46c | 126.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 35c | 113.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 65c | 101$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 54c | 99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 53c | 98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 64c | 66.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Under | 72c | 21.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto TempoAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.