WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93c20bb99b6d5b9629df6f3d88f562810270980d6e6eb189249ad1a53b55b319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 54c | 13,670$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.66 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 12,526$5,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,863.31 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 7,108$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.66 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 2,213$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.18 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 29c | 1,457$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Over | 47c | 1,344$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.29 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 47c | 1,253$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.22 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 1,153$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 52c | 964.1$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 826.1$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.79 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 788$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.64 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 691.45$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.67 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 660.52$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.71 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 51c | 419.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 418.3$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 60c | 270.69$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Under | 61c | 265.41$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 30c | 258.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 256$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 40c | 255.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 29c | 246$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 51c | 232.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 57c | 232.56$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 44c | 171.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 138$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Under | 58c | 136$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 11c | 126$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 118.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 47c | 103.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 72.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 63.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 50c | 63.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 48c | 56.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 50.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 39.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 36.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 45c | 36.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto TempoAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.