Tennis · resolved market
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39e8e76985defd6a55579d655a352b522068d2244d6dd3cc67963fb0d65ba555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Edward Winterof Luis Carlos Alvarez, Edward Winter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 39c | 64,409$25,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,139.87 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Edward Winter | 38c | 36,090$13,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,457.32 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 53c | 24,748$13,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,119.44 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Edward Winter | 34c | 11,157$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,393.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Edward Winter | 37c | 5,608$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.23 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Edward Winter | 45c | 4,319$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.45 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 47c | 3,899$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.03 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 44c | 3,321$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.14 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Edward Winter | 35c | 3,293$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 65c | 2,889$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.76 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Edward Winter | 62c | 2,799$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.71 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Edward Winter | 56c | 2,480$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.25 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Edward Winter | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Edward Winter | 56c | 1,916$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.86 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…c32dbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 76c | 1,789$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.47 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 64c | 1,776$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.44 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 77c | 1,470$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.77 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Edward Winter | 36c | 1,152$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.59 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Edward Winter | 76c | 1,114$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Edward Winter | 37c | 1,060$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.4 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | +15.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 44c | 997.28$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.81 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Edward Winter | 31c | 932.97$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.75 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Edward Winter | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Edward Winter | 26c | 878$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.14 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Edward Winter | 38c | 831$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.85 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Edward Winter | 26c | 827.93$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.93 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 33c | 759.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 80c | 751.29$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.61 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b3…4dbcbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 46c | 743.48$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 42c | 721.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Edward Winter | 41c | 693$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.84 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c8…20a4backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 59c | 590.19$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Edward Winter | 52c | 577.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.76 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…ed4ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 21c | 486.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 44c | 480$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…43aabacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 44c | 453.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Edward Winter | 48c | 416.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.38 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Edward Winter | 30c | 415.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.96 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Edward Winter | 33c | 408.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.19 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 45c | 360$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb7…0bd3backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 39c | 356.54$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 44c | 337.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Edward Winter | 55c | 290$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Edward Winter | 46c | 286.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Edward Winter | 55c | 281.81$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.81 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 45c | 264.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 33c | 259.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Edward Winter | 18c | 250.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Edward Winter | 20c | 240.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.56 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Edward Winter | 55c | 237.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Edward Winter | 66c | 226.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 73c | 223$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.11 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Edward Winter | 28c | 221.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.54 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Edward Winter | 46c | 220.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…fdd9backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 66c | 214.6$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Edward Winter | 34c | 212.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.17 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Edward Winter | 38c | 202.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Edward Winter | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…4944backed Edward Winter | 63c | 199.32$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 164 | 69.5%114 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 13c | 196$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Edward Winter | 34c | 195.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Edward Winter | 18c | 192$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 67c | 187.85$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…9fd7backed Edward Winter | 38c | 183.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Edward Winter | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…a221backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 45c | 175$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Edward Winter | 44c | 169.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Edward Winter | 28c | 163.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…7f0cbacked Edward Winter | 69c | 154.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Edward Winter | 55c | 153.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Edward Winter | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Edward Winter | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 39c | 148.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 59c | 148.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Edward Winter | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Edward Winter | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 45c | 126.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 80c | 124.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Edward Winter | 55c | 119.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 73c | 116.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Edward Winter | 39c | 114.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Edward Winter | 35c | 112.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 53c | 111.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ad…294bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Edward Winter | 30c | 100.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Edward Winter | 21c | 96.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Edward Winter | 21c | 94.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5b60backed Edward Winter | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…461bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 17c | 90.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…e45fbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 70c | 88.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Edward Winter | 55c | 86.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…5993backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…8504backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 54c | 74.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winterthis page
- Set 2 Winner: Alvarez vs WinterWinter won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.