Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc47def8dcf6d67008bcc17893a428b9c34ea2cf8e9df6dc391d9e40a7ca6a13f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex de Minaurof Alex de Minaur, Stefanos Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,011,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,183,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,011,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 682 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Alex de Minaur | 60c | 253,052$151,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,348.72 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 38c | 145,079$55,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,051.24 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 46c | 98,364$45,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,678.4 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 46c | 95,429$43,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,810 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Alex de Minaur | 57c | 34,837$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,836.63 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 34c | 34,329$11,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,829.83 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 25c | 33,976$8,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,654.56 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Alex de Minaur | 58c | 30,950$17,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000.6 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 37c | 30,470$11,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,352.77 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 43c | 26,721$11,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,370.07 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Alex de Minaur | 54c | 26,000$14,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,980.72 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alex de Minaur | 58c | 24,229$14,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,057.48 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 40c | 22,468$9,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,010.99 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Alex de Minaur | 57c | 22,455$12,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,655.65 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 49c | 22,051$10,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,698.07 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 40c | 21,324$8,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,558.27 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Alex de Minaur | 51c | 20,751$10,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,241.58 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 23c | 20,310$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.37 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…bd42backed Alex de Minaur | 44c | 19,677$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,977.41 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 46c | 16,456$7,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,570.3 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…bd4cbacked Alex de Minaur | 55c | 16,429$9,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,392.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 38c | 16,395$6,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,292.38 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…8145backed Alex de Minaur | 52c | 16,326$8,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800.37 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Alex de Minaur | 58c | 15,403$8,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,441.51 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Alex de Minaur | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 45c | 14,788$6,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Alex de Minaur | 54c | 14,366$7,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,652.01 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alex de Minaur | 55c | 14,070$7,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,269.04 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 42c | 13,279$5,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,576.97 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 4c | 13,017$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.42 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Alex de Minaur | 57c | 12,100$6,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Alex de Minaur | 54c | 11,965$6,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,504.04 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…164fbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 49c | 11,288$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 47c | 10,770$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Alex de Minaur | 55c | 10,138$5,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.98 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Alex de Minaur | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Alex de Minaur | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Alex de Minaur | 75c | 9,600$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…5af9backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 9,477$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 56c | 8,750$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…e017backed Alex de Minaur | 54c | 8,103$4,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.03 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Alex de Minaur | 55c | 7,851$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.87 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 43c | 7,170$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 47c | 7,120$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Alex de Minaur | 56c | 6,700$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 51c | 6,400$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Alex de Minaur | 73c | 6,234$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.53 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 37c | 6,156$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.79 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…e8e5backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 44c | 6,148$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Alex de Minaur | 51c | 5,909$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.8 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alex de Minaur | 55c | 5,340$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 44c | 5,298$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.9 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Alex de Minaur | 53c | 5,207$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.78 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc47…0efdbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 43c | 4,810$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Alex de Minaur | 52c | 4,484$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.52 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 45c | 4,450$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.5 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…4cf8backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 52c | 4,300$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 41c | 4,250$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Alex de Minaur | 64c | 4,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…739fbacked Alex de Minaur | 76c | 3,936$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.47 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Alex de Minaur | 56c | 3,930$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.82 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 41c | 3,802$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.61 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 45c | 3,640$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.99 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alex de Minaur | 71c | 3,547$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.24 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…6e0abacked Alex de Minaur | 57c | 3,526$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex de Minaur | 55c | 3,519$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.76 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Alex de Minaur | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 35c | 3,282$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.22 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…f17dbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 50c | 3,270$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 45c | 3,191$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.13 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 41c | 3,114$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.95 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d5…bef9backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 35c | 2,994$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 21c | 2,976$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.23 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 47c | 2,848$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.17 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Alex de Minaur | 54c | 2,832$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.72 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Alex de Minaur | 55c | 2,743$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.04 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alex de Minaur | 56c | 2,678$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.32 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Alex de Minaur | 54c | 2,554$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.8 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 43c | 2,512$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 38c | 2,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Alex de Minaur | 56c | 2,492$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.32 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alex de Minaur | 56c | 2,434$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.37 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Alex de Minaur | 58c | 2,387$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.55 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 46c | 2,359$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.06 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 42c | 2,357$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Alex de Minaur | 55c | 2,350$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.4 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Alex de Minaur | 52c | 2,202$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.19 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Alex de Minaur | 52c | 2,130$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.11 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.95 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 41c | 1,855$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.75 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 41c | 1,777$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.48 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasthis page
- Alex de Minaur vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Minaur vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Minaur vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs TsitsipasMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)Tsitsipas won
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.