Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Tsitsipas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d464e2e7045d437946b3c9ea49a09abf701b5f0ded951714ec30cf81aea6a12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Minaur, Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb421…8856backed Minaur | 18c | 974.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.16 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Minaur | 53c | 750.46$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.4 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tsitsipas | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Tsitsipas | 50c | 510$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Minaur | 17c | 474.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.97 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Minaur | 52c | 446.15$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.15 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Tsitsipas | 36c | 437.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minaur | 52c | 434.03$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.91 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tsitsipas | 47c | 272.84$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minaur | 50c | 245$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…624fbacked Tsitsipas | 54c | 211.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Tsitsipas | 51c | 210.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Tsitsipas | 42c | 159.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tsitsipas | 21c | 150.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tsitsipas | 22c | 119.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…215fbacked Tsitsipas | 48c | 109.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Minaur | 52c | 108.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…3007backed Tsitsipas | 54c | 107.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Minaur | 12c | 94.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Minaur | 58c | 86.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Minaur | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Minaur | 52c | 80.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tsitsipas | 42c | 76.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Minaur | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tsitsipas | 47c | 43.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tsitsipas | 48c | 40.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Tsitsipasthis page
- Alex de Minaur vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Minaur vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Minaur vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos TsitsipasAlex de Minaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)Tsitsipas won
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.