TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof San Francisco Giants, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$501,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$435,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Los Angeles Angels0c45,619$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,396.5185645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Los Angeles Angels1c25,487$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,177.3114724.5%36 W · 111 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Los Angeles Angels59c24,000$14,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,839.9828350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants46c16,070$7,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,445.4110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Los Angeles Angels0c10,795$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,767.0118860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked San Francisco Giants71c8,451$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0009643.8%42 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Los Angeles Angels1c7,460$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,385.281,01450.4%511 W · 503 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed San Francisco Giants41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0501,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels59c4,027$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.064,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Los Angeles Angels53c3,411$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb939…da70backed San Francisco Giants41c3,405$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.893046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels59c3,312$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.866,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…325bbacked Los Angeles Angels33c2,800$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels18c2,473$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.344,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants46c2,189$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.594,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5455…8b2abacked San Francisco Giants50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Angels8c1,880$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.211,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels46c1,829$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.7211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…453bbacked San Francisco Giants42c1,689$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Los Angeles Angels1c1,500$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48542241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels60c1,357$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.364,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants38c1,340$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.078,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants41c1,230$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.722,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels59c1,170$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.71,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2adc…0f3dbacked Los Angeles Angels59c1,068$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.511090%9 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.40per pick50cpaid+80.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants69c1,036$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.734,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed San Francisco Giants41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels54c897.42$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.242,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed San Francisco Giants5c839$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9512924.8%32 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed San Francisco Giants58c809.57$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.551,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Los Angeles Angels58c798.07$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1926056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels59c777.18$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.912,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked San Francisco Giants32c604.51$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.361,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels58c583.33$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2455,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Angels59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants42c493.97$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Los Angeles Angels31c491.58$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.1923351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Los Angeles Angels5c468.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.3270737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed San Francisco Giants47c439.37$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9743459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels50c423.05$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.698,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x747a…766dbacked Los Angeles Angels66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Angels59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Los Angeles Angels53c288.66$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants12c281$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4879442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked San Francisco Giants68c260.63$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2855758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed San Francisco Giants18c260$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.811655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed Los Angeles Angels6c258.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.58614.9%3 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked San Francisco Giants37c242$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6616135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked San Francisco Giants42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants51c226.51$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.525,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked San Francisco Giants7c225$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.753312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed San Francisco Giants48c212.17$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.771553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed San Francisco Giants58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11631844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked San Francisco Giants52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants42c123$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.661,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Angels73c122.13$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5388053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf09…9145backed Los Angeles Angels48c122$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants78c109.14$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.39,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked San Francisco Giants42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed San Francisco Giants43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4384651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Los Angeles Angels53c92.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.254667.4%31 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked San Francisco Giants42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3539149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed San Francisco Giants62c81.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked San Francisco Giants72c80.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0911914.3%17 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+289.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…7c1ebacked San Francisco Giants41c80.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacc…78c8backed Los Angeles Angels73c78.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+33,337.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Los Angeles Angels52c76.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4542451.9%220 W · 204 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Los Angeles Angels58c72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked San Francisco Giants50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3547345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Angels44c66.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.061,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa96b…7d92backed San Francisco Giants46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019041.1%78 W · 112 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed San Francisco Giants57c65.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1573355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf6…baf9backed San Francisco Giants47c62.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.261643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked San Francisco Giants52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked San Francisco Giants32c54.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3914752.4%77 W · 70 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed San Francisco Giants41c52.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610642.5%45 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Los Angeles Angels59c52.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5312154.5%66 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked San Francisco Giants44c50.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.029662.5%60 W · 36 L+11.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x07f1…3b8ebacked San Francisco Giants44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207263.9%46 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed San Francisco Giants42c44.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.821,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed San Francisco Giants47c42.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024444.7%109 W · 135 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked San Francisco Giants45c39.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.055,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed San Francisco Giants79c38.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1113345.9%61 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed San Francisco Giants51c34.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7863954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Los Angeles Angels60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3314039.3%55 W · 85 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1024…9651backed San Francisco Giants47c32.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533556.1%188 W · 147 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Los Angeles Angels59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.334846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6009…deadbacked San Francisco Giants69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked San Francisco Giants76c25.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.462343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa158…acacbacked Los Angeles Angels60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Angels52c23.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.282,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked San Francisco Giants52c20.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4587370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.